Poland: Poll by Ipsos from 26.02.2024

Poland: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
PiS
31.3
-2.7
KO
30.2
+2.2
PL2050/PSL
13.5
-2.5
Kon
12.5
+4.5
Lewica
6.3
-4.7
BS
3.1
+3.1
PJJ
2.1
+2.1
Others
1.0
-2.0
Development since the last election on 15.10.2023
PiS
New
KO
-0.5
PL2050/PSL
-0.9
Kon
+5.3
Lewica
-2.3
BS
+1.5
PJJ
New
Ipsos – 1000 respondents – 22.02.2024-26.02.2024

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Poland is expected to take place in 2027.

Institute often rates KO lower

In 43% of election polls Ipsos rates KO lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Kon higher

In 47% of election polls, Ipsos rates Kon higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates PL2050/PSL lower

In 45% of election polls Ipsos rates PL2050/PSL lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Poland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Poland from Ipsos shows the following results: PiS 31.3%, KO 30.2%, PL2050/PSL 13.5%, Kon 12.5%, Lewica 6.3%, BS 3.1% and PJJ 2.1%. If an election were held in Poland this Sunday, Kon might gain the most in voter favorability with +5.3 growth since the last election. PiS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (New) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Donald Tusk is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from KO, Lewica and PL2050/PSL. With 53.2% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Ipsos. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 4 days (22.02.2024 - 26.02.2024).

Coalition possibilities

460
Majority requires 231 seats
Lewica
31
6.7%
PL2050/PSL
66
14.3%
KO
148
32.2%
PiS
154
33.5%
Kon
61
13.3%
PiS + KO
65.7%
PiS + PL2050/PSL + Kon
61.1%
KO + PL2050/PSL + Kon
59.8%
PiS + PL2050/PSL + Lewica
54.6%
PiS + Kon + Lewica
53.5%
KO + PL2050/PSL + Lewica
53.3%
KO + Kon + Lewica
52.2%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Poland was conducted by Ipsos. The survey took place between 22.02.2024 and 26.02.2024 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PiS 31.3%, KO 30.2%, PL2050/PSL 13.5%, Kon 12.5%, Lewica 6.3%, BS 3.1% and PJJ 2.1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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