Poland
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Poland: Poll by Ipsos from 06.06.2024

Polling data

KO
35.0
+35.0
PiS
31.0
+31.0
Kon
12.0
+12.0
PL2050/PSL
11.0
+11.0
Lewica
8.0
+8.0
BS
2.0
+2.0
Sonst.
1.0
-99.0
Development since the last election on 15.10.2023
KO
+4.3
PiS
New
Kon
+4.8
PL2050/PSL
-3.4
Lewica
-0.6
BS
+0.4
Ipsos – 1000 respondents – 04.06.2024-06.06.2024

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Poland is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Poland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Poland from Ipsos shows the following results: KO 35%, PiS 31%, Kon 12%, PL2050/PSL 11%, Lewica 8% and BS 2%. If an election were held in Poland this Sunday, Kon might gain the most in voter favorability with +4.8 growth since the last election. PL2050/PSL, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-3.4) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Donald Tusk is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from KO, Lewica and PL2050/PSL. With 54.6% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Ipsos. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (04.06.2024 - 06.06.2024).

Coalition possibilities

96
Lewica
7
PL2050/PSL
11
KO
34
BS
1
PiS
31
Kon
12
Majority requires 49 seats
KO + PiS
65
KO + Kon + PL2050/PSL
57
KO + Kon + Lewica
53
KO + PL2050/PSL + Lewica
52
PiS + Kon + PL2050/PSL
54
PiS + Kon + Lewica
50
PiS + PL2050/PSL + Lewica
49

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in EU-Parliament was conducted by Ipsos. The survey took place between 04.06.2024 and 06.06.2024 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get KO 35%, PiS 31%, Kon 12%, PL2050/PSL 11%, Lewica 8% and BS 2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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