Poland
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Poland: Poll by IBRiS from 06.06.2024

Polling data

KO
35.0
+2.2
PiS
33.9
+0.5
Kon
10.8
+0.2
PL2050/PSL
10.7
-1.2
Lewica
9.0
+0.1
BS
0.7
-1.5
Development since the last election on 15.10.2023
KO
+4.3
PiS
New
Kon
+3.6
PL2050/PSL
-3.7
Lewica
+0.4
BS
-0.9
IBRiS – :sample_size respondent count unknown – 06.06.2024-06.06.2024

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Poland is expected to take place in 2027.

Respondent number unknown

No information on the number of respondents is available for this poll.

Institute often rates Kon lower

In 31% of election polls IBRiS rates Kon lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Lewica higher

In 41% of election polls, IBRiS rates Lewica higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates PiS higher

In 52% of election polls, IBRiS rates PiS higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates PL2050/PSL higher

In 39% of election polls, IBRiS rates PL2050/PSL higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Poland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Poland from IBRiS shows the following results: KO 35%, PiS 33.9%, Kon 10.8%, PL2050/PSL 10.7%, Lewica 9% and BS 0.7%. If an election were held in Poland this Sunday, KO might gain the most in voter favorability with +4.3 growth since the last election. PL2050/PSL, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-3.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Donald Tusk is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from KO, Lewica and PL2050/PSL. With 54.7% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by IBRiS. For this purpose, 0 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (06.06.2024 - 06.06.2024).

Coalition possibilities

96
Lewica
8
PL2050/PSL
10
KO
34
PiS
33
Kon
11
Majority requires 49 seats
KO + PiS
67
KO + Kon + PL2050/PSL
55
PiS + Kon + PL2050/PSL
54
KO + Kon + Lewica
53
KO + PL2050/PSL + Lewica
52
PiS + Kon + Lewica
52
PiS + PL2050/PSL + Lewica
51

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in EU-Parliament was conducted by IBRiS. The poll was conducted on 06.06.2024 - the number of respondents is unknown. After this election poll would get KO 35%, PiS 33.9%, Kon 10.8%, PL2050/PSL 10.7%, Lewica 9% and BS 0.7%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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