Poland
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Poland: Poll by OGB from 07.06.2024

Polling data

KO
37.5
+4.3
PiS
36.0
+3.3
Kon
11.5
-0.8
PL2050/PSL
7.5
-6.3
Lewica
5.0
-0.6
BS
0.6
+0.6
Sonst.
1.9
-0.5
Development since the last election on 15.10.2023
KO
+6.8
PiS
New
Kon
+4.3
PL2050/PSL
-6.9
Lewica
-3.6
BS
-1.0
OGB – :sample_size respondent count unknown – 04.06.2024-07.06.2024

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Poland is expected to take place in 2027.

Respondent number unknown

No information on the number of respondents is available for this poll.

Election poll results

Poland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Poland from OGB shows the following results: KO 37.5%, PiS 36%, Kon 11.5%, PL2050/PSL 7.5%, Lewica 5% and BS 0.6%. If an election were held in Poland this Sunday, KO might gain the most in voter favorability with +6.8 growth since the last election. PL2050/PSL, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-6.9) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Donald Tusk is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from KO, Lewica and PL2050/PSL. With 50.9% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by OGB. For this purpose, 0 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (04.06.2024 - 07.06.2024).

Coalition possibilities

96
Lewica
4
PL2050/PSL
7
KO
37
PiS
36
Kon
12
Majority requires 49 seats
KO + PiS
73
PiS + Kon + PL2050/PSL
55
PiS + Kon + Lewica
52
KO + PL2050/PSL + Lewica
48
KO + Kon
49
PiS + PL2050/PSL + Lewica
47
PiS + Kon
48

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in EU-Parliament was conducted by OGB. The poll took place between 04.06.2024 and 07.06.2024. It is not known how many people were polled. After this election poll would get KO 37.5%, PiS 36%, Kon 11.5%, PL2050/PSL 7.5%, Lewica 5% and BS 0.6%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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