Poland: Poll by Pollster from 08.08.2024

Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
ZP
31.6
-1.7
KO
31.5
-3.6
Kon
13.9
+0.6
PL2050/PSL
10.1
+0.9
Lewica
9.1
+0.1
Others
3.8
+3.7
Development since the last election on 15.10.2023
Pollster – 1001 respondents – 08.08.2024-08.08.2024

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Poland is expected to take place in 2027.

Institute often rates KO lower

In 34% of election polls Pollster rates KO lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates ZP lower

In 58% of election polls Pollster rates ZP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Poland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Poland from Pollster shows the following results: ZP 31.6%, KO 31.5%, Kon 13.9%, PL2050/PSL 10.1% and Lewica 9.1%. If an election were held in Poland this Sunday, Kon might gain the most in voter favorability with +6.7 growth since the last election. PL2050/PSL, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-4.3) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Donald Tusk is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from KO, Lewica and PL2050/PSL. With 52.8% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Pollster. For this purpose, 1001 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (08.08.2024 - 08.08.2024).

Coalition possibilities

460
Majority requires 231 seats
Lewica
44
9.6%
PL2050/PSL
48
10.4%
KO
151
32.8%
ZP
151
32.8%
Kon
66
14.3%
ZP + KO
65.7%
ZP + Kon + PL2050/PSL
57.6%
KO + Kon + PL2050/PSL
57.6%
ZP + Kon + Lewica
56.7%
KO + Kon + Lewica
56.7%
KO + PL2050/PSL + Lewica
52.8%
ZP + PL2050/PSL + Lewica
52.8%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Poland was conducted by Pollster. Eligible voters were surveyed for this on 08.08.2024 1001. After this election poll would get ZP 31.6%, KO 31.5%, Kon 13.9%, PL2050/PSL 10.1% and Lewica 9.1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.