Poland: Poll by IBRiS from 26.10.2024

Polling data

KO
34.4
-0.3
PiS
32.6
-2.8
PL2050/PSL
10.8
+0.3
Kon
10.3
-0.8
Lewica
9.5
+1.3
Others
2.4
+2.3
Development since the last election on 15.10.2023
KO
+3.7
PiS
New
PL2050/PSL
-3.6
Kon
+3.1
Lewica
+0.9
IBRiS – 1069 respondents – 25.10.2024-26.10.2024

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Poland is expected to take place in 2027.

Institute often rates Kon lower

In 33% of election polls IBRiS rates Kon lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Lewica higher

In 40% of election polls, IBRiS rates Lewica higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates PiS higher

In 52% of election polls, IBRiS rates PiS higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates PL2050/PSL higher

In 36% of election polls, IBRiS rates PL2050/PSL higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Poland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Poland from IBRiS shows the following results: KO 34.4%, PiS 32.6%, PL2050/PSL 10.8%, Kon 10.3% and Lewica 9.5%. If an election were held in Poland this Sunday, KO might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.7 growth since the last election. PL2050/PSL, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-3.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Donald Tusk is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from KO, Lewica and PL2050/PSL. With 55.9% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by IBRiS. For this purpose, 1069 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (25.10.2024 - 26.10.2024).

Coalition possibilities

460
Majority requires 231 seats
Lewica
44
9.6%
PL2050/PSL
51
11.1%
KO
162
35.2%
PiS
154
33.5%
Kon
49
10.7%
KO + PiS
68.7%
KO + PL2050/PSL + Kon
57.0%
KO + PL2050/PSL + Lewica
55.9%
KO + Kon + Lewica
55.4%
PiS + PL2050/PSL + Kon
55.2%
PiS + PL2050/PSL + Lewica
54.1%
PiS + Kon + Lewica
53.7%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Poland was conducted by IBRiS. The survey took place between 25.10.2024 and 26.10.2024 among 1069 eligible voters. After this election poll would get KO 34.4%, PiS 32.6%, PL2050/PSL 10.8%, Kon 10.3% and Lewica 9.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
How to embed the election trend on your website:
  1. Copy code below
  2. Paste code on your website
  3. Done!
Copy code
Copied!