Poland: Poll by United Surveys from 09.03.2025

Poland: Polling data

KO
35.1
-1.3
PiS
32.2
+0.9
Kon
19.4
+7.8
PL2050/PSL
6.5
-4.8
Lewica
5.5
-4.0
Razem
1.2
+1.2
Others
0.1
+0.2
Development since the last election on 15.10.2023
KO
+4.4
PiS
New
Kon
+12.2
PL2050/PSL
-7.9
Lewica
-3.1
Razem
New
United Surveys – 1000 respondents – 07.03.2025-09.03.2025

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Poland is expected to take place in 2027.

Institute often rates Kon lower

In 38% of election polls United Surveys rates Kon lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Lewica higher

In 33% of election polls, United Surveys rates Lewica higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates PiS higher

In 56% of election polls, United Surveys rates PiS higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates PL2050/PSL higher

In 39% of election polls, United Surveys rates PL2050/PSL higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Razem lower

In 57% of election polls United Surveys rates Razem lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Poland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Poland from United Surveys shows the following results: KO 35.1%, PiS 32.2%, Kon 19.4%, PL2050/PSL 6.5%, Lewica 5.5% and Razem 1.2%. If an election were held in Poland this Sunday, Kon might gain the most in voter favorability with +12.2 growth since the last election. PL2050/PSL, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-7.9) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Donald Tusk is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from KO, Lewica and PL2050/PSL. With 47.6% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by United Surveys. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (07.03.2025 - 09.03.2025).

Coalition possibilities

460
Majority requires 231 seats
Lewica
25
5.4%
PL2050/PSL
30
6.5%
KO
164
35.7%
PiS
150
32.6%
Kon
91
19.8%
KO + PiS
68.3%
KO + Kon
55.4%
PiS + Kon
52.4%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Poland was conducted by United Surveys. The survey took place between 07.03.2025 and 09.03.2025 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get KO 35.1%, PiS 32.2%, Kon 19.4%, PL2050/PSL 6.5%, Lewica 5.5% and Razem 1.2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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