Poland: Poll by Ipsos from 13.03.2025

Poland: Polling data

KO
34.0
+3.0
PiS
30.0
-4.0
Kon
17.0
±0.0
PL2050/PSL
9.0
+1.0
Lewica
7.0
-2.0
Razem
3.0
+3.0
Development since the last election on 15.10.2023
KO
+3.3
PiS
New
Kon
+9.8
PL2050/PSL
-5.4
Lewica
-1.6
Razem
New
Ipsos – 639 respondents – 11.03.2025-13.03.2025

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Poland is expected to take place in 2027.

Low number of respondents

Only 639 eligible voters were polled for this election poll.

Institute often rates KO lower

In 43% of election polls Ipsos rates KO lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Kon higher

In 47% of election polls, Ipsos rates Kon higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates PL2050/PSL lower

In 45% of election polls Ipsos rates PL2050/PSL lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Poland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Poland from Ipsos shows the following results: KO 34%, PiS 30%, Kon 17%, PL2050/PSL 9%, Lewica 7% and Razem 3%. If an election were held in Poland this Sunday, Kon might gain the most in voter favorability with +9.8 growth since the last election. PL2050/PSL, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-5.4) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Donald Tusk is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from KO, Lewica and PL2050/PSL. With 51.7% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Ipsos. For this purpose, 639 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (11.03.2025 - 13.03.2025).

Coalition possibilities

460
Majority requires 231 seats
Lewica
33
7.2%
PL2050/PSL
43
9.3%
KO
162
35.2%
PiS
142
30.9%
Kon
80
17.4%
KO + PiS
66.1%
PiS + Kon + PL2050/PSL
57.6%
PiS + Kon + Lewica
55.4%
KO + Kon
52.6%
KO + PL2050/PSL + Lewica
51.7%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Poland was conducted by Ipsos. The survey took place between 11.03.2025 and 13.03.2025 among 639 eligible voters. After this election poll would get KO 34%, PiS 30%, Kon 17%, PL2050/PSL 9%, Lewica 7% and Razem 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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