Poland: Poll by Opinia24 from 13.03.2025

Poland: Polling data

KO
35.5
+0.4
PiS
27.5
-6.6
Kon
22.4
+9.6
PL2050/PSL
7.0
-1.3
Lewica
5.0
-4.3
Razem
2.5
+2.5
Others
0.1
-0.3
Development since the last election on 15.10.2023
KO
+4.8
PiS
New
Kon
+15.2
PL2050/PSL
-7.4
Lewica
-3.6
Razem
New
Opinia24 – 601 respondents – 10.03.2025-13.03.2025

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Poland is expected to take place in 2027.

Low number of respondents

Only 601 eligible voters were polled for this election poll.

Institute often rates KO higher

In 40% of election polls, Opinia24 rates KO higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Kon higher

In 40% of election polls, Opinia24 rates Kon higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates PiS lower

In 75% of election polls Opinia24 rates PiS lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Poland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Poland from Opinia24 shows the following results: KO 35.5%, PiS 27.5%, Kon 22.4%, PL2050/PSL 7%, Lewica 5% and Razem 2.5%. If an election were held in Poland this Sunday, Kon might gain the most in voter favorability with +15.2 growth since the last election. PL2050/PSL, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-7.4) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Donald Tusk is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from KO, Lewica and PL2050/PSL. With 48.7% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Opinia24. For this purpose, 601 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (10.03.2025 - 13.03.2025).

Coalition possibilities

460
Majority requires 231 seats
Lewica
23
5%
PL2050/PSL
33
7.2%
KO
168
36.5%
PiS
130
28.3%
Kon
106
23%
KO + PiS
64.8%
KO + Kon
59.6%
PiS + Kon
51.3%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Poland was conducted by Opinia24. The survey took place between 10.03.2025 and 13.03.2025 among 601 eligible voters. After this election poll would get KO 35.5%, PiS 27.5%, Kon 22.4%, PL2050/PSL 7%, Lewica 5% and Razem 2.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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