Poland: Poll by Opinia24 from 27.04.2025

Poland: Polling data

KO
31.3
-4.8
PiS
27.1
-1.9
Kon
18.8
+4.2
PL2050/PSL
8.3
-0.4
Lewica
6.3
-1.0
Razem
5.2
+1.2
Others
3.0
+2.7
Development since the last election on 15.10.2023
KO
+0.6
PiS
New
Kon
+11.6
PL2050/PSL
-6.1
Lewica
-2.3
Razem
New
Opinia24 – :sample_size respondent count unknown – 01.04.2025-27.04.2025

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Poland is expected to take place in 2027.

Respondent number unknown

No information on the number of respondents is available for this poll.

Institute often rates KO higher

In 43% of election polls, Opinia24 rates KO higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Kon higher

In 39% of election polls, Opinia24 rates Kon higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates PiS lower

In 74% of election polls Opinia24 rates PiS lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Poland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Poland from Opinia24 shows the following results: KO 31.3%, PiS 27.1%, Kon 18.8%, PL2050/PSL 8.3%, Lewica 6.3% and Razem 5.2%. If an election were held in Poland this Sunday, Kon might gain the most in voter favorability with +11.6 growth since the last election. PL2050/PSL, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-6.1) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Donald Tusk is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from KO, Lewica and PL2050/PSL. With 47.4% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Opinia24. For this purpose, 0 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 26 days (01.04.2025 - 27.04.2025).

Coalition possibilities

460
Majority requires 231 seats
Lewica
30
6.5%
Razem
24
5.2%
PL2050/PSL
39
8.5%
KO
149
32.4%
PiS
129
28%
Kon
89
19.3%
KO + PiS
60.4%
PiS + Kon + PL2050/PSL
55.9%
PiS + Kon + Lewica
53.9%
KO + PL2050/PSL + Lewica + Razem
52.6%
PiS + Kon + Razem
52.6%
KO + Kon
51.7%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Poland was conducted by Opinia24. The poll took place between 01.04.2025 and 27.04.2025. It is not known how many people were polled. After this election poll would get KO 31.3%, PiS 27.1%, Kon 18.8%, PL2050/PSL 8.3%, Lewica 6.3% and Razem 5.2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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