Election trends and current polls for Poland

PolitPro Election Trend

The current PolitPro election trend for the next parliamentary elections
ZP
41%
-1
KO
28.5%
+0.1
Konf
6.7%
+0.3
KP
7.9%
±0
L
15.2%
+1
Sonstige
0.7%
-0.4
Changes to last election from 13.10.2019
ZP
-2.8
KO
+1.3
Konf
-0.1
KP
+7.9
L
+2.7
Political orientation
ZP
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KO
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Konf
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KP
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L
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The artificial intelligence (AI) of PolitPro analyzes and evaluates current election polls of leading opinion research institutes. In the election trend, it calculates an intelligently weighted average of the values of current Sunday questions. For the calculation always the last values of an institute are used, taking into account the time dependencies as well as different qualitative and quantitative weightings.

The aim of the AI is to get a quick and uncomplicated overview of current political trends.

The displayed change of values always refers to the period of the last 7 days.

Last Sunday questions

Current Sunday questions from leading opinion research institutes
Sejm
IBRiS - 13.02.2020
ZP
39%
-2.3
KO
30%
+1.7
7%
+0.5
KP
8%
+0.4
L
17%
+0.7
0%
±0
Sejm
Kantar MB - 06.02.2020
ZP
38%
±0
KO
33%
±0
8%
±0
KP
8%
±0
L
14%
±0
0%
±0
Sejm
Social Changes - 03.02.2020
ZP
39%
-2
KO
27%
+3
7%
-1
KP
9%
-1
L
17%
+1
1%
±0
Sejm
Pollster - 28.01.2020
ZP
40.5%
-0.6
KO
27.4%
-0.1
8.5%
+0.4
KP
8.3%
-0.2
L
14.7%
+0.2
0.6%
+0.3
Sejm
Estymator - 28.01.2020
ZP
43.5%
-1.9
KO
29.7%
+1.5
5.9%
-0.5
KP
8.7%
+0.1
L
11.8%
+1.3
0.4%
-0.5
Data source: EOPAOD

Coalition possibilities

Possible coalitions based on the current PolitPro election trend
Whole Parliament
ZP + KO + KP + Konf
84.7%
ZP + KO + KP
78%
ZP + KO + Konf
76.7%
ZP + KO
70%
ZP + KP + Konf
56%
KO + L + KP
52%
ZP + KP
49.3%
ZP + Konf
48%

The coalitions are determined on the basis of a percentage distribution of seats of all parties represented in parliament. Possible overhang or compensation mandates are not taken into account.

The blocking clause is 5%.

Development of the election trend

The development of all parties since January 2018
ZP
KO
Konf
KP
L
BS
PO
K’15
.N
PSL
PiS
KORWiN
Razem
SLD
Wiosna

Last election

The results of the last election from 13.10.2019
Seats
Party (min. 0.2%) Percent Seats
ZP 43.8% 43.8% 237 237
KO 27.2% 27.2% 133 133
L 12.5% 4.9% 47 47
PSL 8.6% 3.5% 31 15
Konf 6.8% 6.8% 11 11
Mniejszość Niemiecka 0.2% 0% 1 0
Sonstige 0.9% 0.3% 0 0
In the last election of the 13.10.2019 460 representatives from 6 parliamentary groups were elected to the parliament. The next election is scheduled for the year 2024.