Current election polls by ICS/ISCTE

Latest polls from ICS/ISCTE

Portugal
· 1 month ago
1 month ago
Open Details
29
27
21
5
5
3
1
1
Portugal
· 3 months ago
3 months ago
Open Details
29
26
15
6
6
4
3
1
1
Portugal
· 5 months ago
5 months ago
Open Details
31
25
13
6
6
3
2
2
2
Portugal
· 9 months ago
9 months ago
Open Details
31
30
13
5
5
4
2
1
1
Portugal
· 11 months ago
11 months ago
Open Details
30
30
13
5
5
4
2
2
1

Rating of parties

Institute often rates Bloco de Esquerda lower
In 33% of election polls ICS/ISCTE rates Bloco de Esquerda lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Chega higher
In 36% of election polls, ICS/ISCTE rates Chega higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Iniciativa Liberal lower
In 55% of election polls ICS/ISCTE rates Iniciativa Liberal lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Partido Socialista higher
In 33% of election polls, ICS/ISCTE rates Partido Socialista higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.

Accuracy in elections

Average deviation
On average, party poll results in ICS/ISCTE pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 2.2 percentage points.
Average ranking
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, ICS/ISCTE's average ranking is 5.5.
0x the most accurate prediction
2
0x the second best prediction
3
0x the third best prediction
4
0x on rank 4