Current election polls by Intercampus

Latest polls from Intercampus

Portugal
· 3 weeks ago
3 weeks ago
Open Details
31.5
25
16.8
8.4
5.9
4.6
4
2.3
1.5
Portugal
· 1 month ago
1 month ago
Open Details
27.7
25.6
18.8
7.5
6.2
3.7
3.1
3.1
4.3
Portugal
· 2 months ago
2 months ago
Open Details
30.9
24.3
19.4
8.7
6.3
4.6
2.6
1.5
1.7
Portugal
· 3 months ago
3 months ago
Open Details
29.3
25.9
13.4
10.1
7.6
3.5
3.3
2.6
1.8
2.5
Portugal
· 4 months ago
4 months ago
Open Details
25.6
23.7
14.6
10.3
9.1
4.8
3.5
3.2
2.1
3.1

Rating of parties

Institute often rates Bloco de Esquerda higher
In 43% of election polls, Intercampus rates Bloco de Esquerda higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Chega higher
In 32% of election polls, Intercampus rates Chega higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Iniciativa Liberal higher
In 35% of election polls, Intercampus rates Iniciativa Liberal higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Partido Socialista lower
In 43% of election polls Intercampus rates Partido Socialista lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PSD lower
In 60% of election polls Intercampus rates PSD lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.

Accuracy in elections

Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Intercampus pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 2.1 percentage points.
Average ranking
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, Intercampus's average ranking is 5.0.
0x the most accurate prediction
2
0x the second best prediction
3
1x the third best prediction
4
0x on rank 4
5
0x on rank 5
6
0x on rank 6