The bars show the results of this single poll; the chips show the change compared to the last election. Consulmark2: Latest poll for the Portuguese Parliamentary election, fieldwork concluded on May 13, 2025.
Changes since the last election on March 10, 2024
Based on this poll, the parties currently in government would win 34.8% of the parliamentary seats.
A recent voting intention poll for Portugal by Consulmark2 shows Aliança Democrática leading with 33.1%, followed by Partido Socialista with 25.9%, Chega with 15.7%, Iniciativa Liberal with 7.6%, LIVRE with 6.2%, Bloco de Esquerda with 3.8%, CDU with 2.8% and PAN with 1.1%. Other parties achieve 3.8% of the votes.
To make parties comparable, we indicate their political orientation with symbols. These categories provide a rough classification for a quick overview. More detailed information on political stances can be found on the parties' subpages.
2 election comparisons
Last on May 13, 2025
In the PolitPro Score for polling institutes, we assess the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and their deviation from the Election Trend. Significant deviations in party values compared to the Election Trend lead to deductions, as they can indicate favoritism or disadvantage for parties. The score has a maximum value of 100.
Select parties to test coalitions.
Based on this poll, 8 parties would surpass the electoral threshold and secure seats in the Portuguese Parliament: Aliança Democrática with 80 seats, Partido Socialista with 63 seats, Chega with 38 seats, Iniciativa Liberal with 18 seats, LIVRE with 14 seats, Bloco de Esquerda with 9 seats, CDU with 6 seats and PAN with 2 seats.
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