Portugal
Election trend
Parties

Portugal: Poll by Pitagórica from 10.01.2021

Polling data

PS
41.4
+0.5
PSD
28.0
+1.7
BE
7.1
-0.2
CH
5.9
-2.5
CDU
5.1
+1.0
IL
4.1
+1.3
PAN
2.2
+0.4
PP
1.2
-0.2
Sonst.
5.0
-2.0
Development since the last election on 10.03.2024
PS
+12.7
PSD
BE
+2.6
CH
-12.2
CDU
+1.8
IL
-1.0
PAN
+0.3
PP
Pitagórica – 629 respondents – 29.12.2020-10.01.2021
Next election: 2028
The next parliamentary election in Portugal is expected to take place in 2028.
Low number of respondents
Only 629 eligible voters were polled for this election poll.
Institute often rates Partido Socialista higher
In 43% of election polls, Pitagórica rates Partido Socialista higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PSD higher
In 33% of election polls, Pitagórica rates PSD higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Portugal - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Portugal from Pitagórica shows the following results: Partido Socialista 41.4%, PSD 28%, Bloco de Esquerda 7.1%, Chega 5.9%, CDU 5.1%, Iniciativa Liberal 4.1%, PAN 2.2% and CDS–Partido Popular 1.2%. If an election were held in Portugal this Sunday, Partido Socialista might gain the most in voter favorability with +12.7 growth since the last election. Chega, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-12.2) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Luís Montenegro is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Aliança Democrática. With 0.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Pitagórica. For this purpose, 629 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 12 days (29.12.2020 - 10.01.2021).

Coalition possibilities

230
BE
17
CDU
12
PAN
5
PS
101
IL
10
PSD
68
CH
14
PP
3
Majority requires 116 seats
Partido Socialista + PSD
169
Partido Socialista + CDU + Iniciativa Liberal
123
Partido Socialista + CDU + PAN
118
Partido Socialista + Bloco de Esquerda
118
Partido Socialista + Iniciativa Liberal + PAN
116
Partido Socialista + CDU
113

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Portugal was conducted by Pitagórica. The survey took place between 29.12.2020 and 10.01.2021 among 629 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Partido Socialista 41.4%, PSD 28%, Bloco de Esquerda 7.1%, Chega 5.9%, CDU 5.1%, Iniciativa Liberal 4.1%, PAN 2.2% and CDS–Partido Popular 1.2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.