Portugal: Poll by CESOP-UCP from 05.01.2022

Polling data

PS
38.0
-1.0
PSD
32.0
+2.0
BE
6.0
-1.0
CDU
6.0
+1.0
CH
5.0
±0.0
IL
5.0
±0.0
PP
2.0
±0.0
PAN
2.0
-1.0
L
1.0
+1.0
Others
3.0
±0.0
CESOP-UCP – 1238 respondents – 28.12.2021-05.01.2022
Next election: 2026
The next parliamentary election in Portugal is expected to take place in 2026.

Coalition possibilities

Partido Socialista + PSD
72.2
Partido Socialista + Bloco de Esquerda + CDU
51.6
Partido Socialista + CDU + Iniciativa Liberal
50.6
Partido Socialista + Bloco de Esquerda + Iniciativa Liberal
50.6
Government might not stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties achieve 39.2% of the votes.

Frequently asked questions about election polls

election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Portugal was conducted by CESOP-UCP. The survey took place between 28.12.2021 and 05.01.2022 among 1238 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Partido Socialista 38%, PSD 32%, Bloco de Esquerda 6%, CDU 6%, Chega 5%, Iniciativa Liberal 5%, CDS–Partido Popular 2%, PAN 2% and LIVRE 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.

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