Development since the last election on 30.01.2022
CESOP-UCP – 1456 respondents – 12.01.2022-18.01.2022
Next election: 2026
The next parliamentary election in Portugal is expected to take place in 2026.
Government might not stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties achieve 38.1% of the votes.
Frequently asked questions about election polls
election poll results
This election poll on the parliamentary election in Portugal was conducted by CESOP-UCP. The survey took place between 12.01.2022 and 18.01.2022 among 1456 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Partido Socialista 37%, PSD 33%, Chega 6%, Bloco de Esquerda 5%, CDU 5%, Iniciativa Liberal 5%, CDS–Partido Popular 2%, PAN 2% and LIVRE 2%.
How reliable are election polls?
Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.
What should you look out for in election polls?
Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.