Portugal: Poll by Intercampus from 15.05.2022

Polling data

PS
39.5
+4.2
PSD
21.2
-8.1
CH
8.8
+1.7
IL
7.8
+2.2
BE
5.9
-2.6
CDU
4.1
-1.9
PAN
4.1
-0.2
PP
3.3
+2.2
L
2.1
+1.5
Others
3.2
0.0
Intercampus – 611 respondents – 07.05.2022-15.05.2022
Low number of respondents
Only 611 eligible voters were polled for this election poll.
Next election: 2026
The next parliamentary election in Portugal is expected to take place in 2026.

Coalition possibilities

Partido Socialista + PSD
62.7
Partido Socialista + Iniciativa Liberal + Bloco de Esquerda
55.0
Partido Socialista + Iniciativa Liberal + CDU
53.1
Partido Socialista + Iniciativa Liberal + PAN
53.1
Partido Socialista + Bloco de Esquerda + CDU
51.1
Partido Socialista + Bloco de Esquerda + PAN
51.1
Partido Socialista + CDU + PAN
49.2
Government might not stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties achieve 40.8% of the votes.

Frequently asked questions about election polls

election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Portugal was conducted by Intercampus. The survey took place between 07.05.2022 and 15.05.2022 among 611 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Partido Socialista 39.5%, PSD 21.2%, Chega 8.8%, Iniciativa Liberal 7.8%, Bloco de Esquerda 5.9%, CDU 4.1%, PAN 4.1%, CDS–Partido Popular 3.3% and LIVRE 2.1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.

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