Portugal: Poll by Intercampus from 15.09.2022

Polling data

PS
35.5
-3.0
PSD
28.7
+2.2
CH
10.7
+0.9
BE
6.0
+0.2
IL
6.0
-2.3
CDU
3.4
+0.8
PAN
2.9
+1.4
L
2.1
-0.1
PP
1.3
+0.5
Others
3.4
0.0
Intercampus – 606 respondents – 09.09.2022-15.09.2022
Low number of respondents
Only 606 eligible voters were polled for this election poll.
Next election: 2026
The next parliamentary election in Portugal is expected to take place in 2026.

Coalition possibilities

Partido Socialista + PSD
66.4
Partido Socialista + Bloco de Esquerda + Iniciativa Liberal + CDU
Partido Socialista + Bloco de Esquerda + Iniciativa Liberal + PAN
Partido Socialista + Bloco de Esquerda + CDU + PAN
Partido Socialista + Iniciativa Liberal + CDU + PAN
Partido Socialista + Bloco de Esquerda + Iniciativa Liberal
49.1
Government might not stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties achieve 36.7% of the votes.

Frequently asked questions about election polls

election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Portugal was conducted by Intercampus. The survey took place between 09.09.2022 and 15.09.2022 among 606 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Partido Socialista 35.5%, PSD 28.7%, Chega 10.7%, Bloco de Esquerda 6%, Iniciativa Liberal 6%, CDU 3.4%, PAN 2.9%, LIVRE 2.1% and CDS–Partido Popular 1.3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.

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