Upcoming elections:

Portugal: Poll by Pitagórica from 17.10.2022

Polling data

PS
36.2
-0.5
PSD
30.0
+2.4
CH
9.3
-0.2
IL
7.9
-0.6
BE
3.9
-0.5
CDU
3.8
-0.4
PP
1.6
-0.9
PAN
1.2
±0.0
L
1.0
-0.2
Sonst.
5.1
+0.9
Pitagórica – 828 respondents – 11.10.2022-17.10.2022
Next election: 2028
The next parliamentary election in Portugal is expected to take place in 2028.
Low number of respondents
Only 828 eligible voters were polled for this election poll.
Institute often rates Partido Socialista higher
In 43% of election polls, Pitagórica rates Partido Socialista higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PSD higher
In 33% of election polls, Pitagórica rates PSD higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Portugal - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Portugal from Pitagórica shows the following results: Partido Socialista 36.2%, PSD 30%, Chega 9.3%, Iniciativa Liberal 7.9%, Bloco de Esquerda 3.9%, CDU 3.8%, CDS–Partido Popular 1.6%, PAN 1.2% and LIVRE 1%. If an election were held in Portugal this Sunday, Partido Socialista might gain the most in voter favorability with +7.5 growth since the last election. Chega, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-8.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Luís Montenegro is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Aliança Democrática. With 0.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Pitagórica. For this purpose, 828 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 6 days (11.10.2022 - 17.10.2022).

Coalition possibilities

230
BE
9
CDU
9
PAN
3
L
2
PS
89
IL
19
PSD
74
CH
22
PP
3
Majority requires 116 seats
Partido Socialista + PSD
163
PSD + Chega + Iniciativa Liberal + CDS–Partido Popular
Partido Socialista + Iniciativa Liberal + Bloco de Esquerda
117
Partido Socialista + Iniciativa Liberal + CDU
117
PSD + Chega + Iniciativa Liberal
115

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Portugal was conducted by Pitagórica. The survey took place between 11.10.2022 and 17.10.2022 among 828 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Partido Socialista 36.2%, PSD 30%, Chega 9.3%, Iniciativa Liberal 7.9%, Bloco de Esquerda 3.9%, CDU 3.8%, CDS–Partido Popular 1.6%, PAN 1.2% and LIVRE 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.