Portugal: Poll by Intercampus from 22.10.2022

Polling data

PS
33.3
-2.2
PSD
29.1
+0.4
CH
10.8
+0.1
IL
8.6
+2.6
BE
7.2
+1.2
CDU
3.1
-0.3
L
2.6
+0.5
PAN
2.1
-0.8
PP
0.7
-0.6
Others
2.5
+0.0
Intercampus – 607 respondents – 17.10.2022-22.10.2022
Low number of respondents
Only 607 eligible voters were polled for this election poll.
Institute often rates Bloco de Esquerda higher
In 44% of election polls, Intercampus rates Bloco de Esquerda higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Chega higher
In 56% of election polls, Intercampus rates Chega higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PAN higher
In 41% of election polls, Intercampus rates PAN higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Partido Socialista lower
In 59% of election polls Intercampus rates Partido Socialista lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PSD lower
In 65% of election polls Intercampus rates PSD lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Next election: 2026
The next parliamentary election in Portugal is expected to take place in 2026.

Coalition possibilities

Partido Socialista + PSD
64.0
Partido Socialista + Iniciativa Liberal + Bloco de Esquerda
50.4
PSD + Chega + Iniciativa Liberal
49.7


Government might not stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties achieve 34.2% of the votes.

Frequently asked questions about election polls

election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Portugal was conducted by Intercampus. The survey took place between 17.10.2022 and 22.10.2022 among 607 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Partido Socialista 33.3%, PSD 29.1%, Chega 10.8%, Iniciativa Liberal 8.6%, Bloco de Esquerda 7.2%, CDU 3.1%, LIVRE 2.6%, PAN 2.1% and CDS–Partido Popular 0.7%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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