Upcoming elections:

Portugal: Poll by Intercampus from 14.12.2022

Polling data

PS
30.9
+2.1
PSD
25.3
-0.9
CH
11.0
-2.6
BE
8.6
+1.3
IL
8.6
+0.6
CDU
4.4
-2.0
PAN
3.6
+0.9
PP
2.2
+0.7
L
1.9
+0.4
Sonst.
3.5
-0.5
Intercampus – 663 respondents – 12.12.2022-14.12.2022
Next election: 2028
The next parliamentary election in Portugal is expected to take place in 2028.
Low number of respondents
Only 663 eligible voters were polled for this election poll.

Election poll results

Portugal - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Portugal from Intercampus shows the following results: Partido Socialista 30.9%, PSD 25.3%, Chega 11%, Bloco de Esquerda 8.6%, Iniciativa Liberal 8.6%, CDU 4.4%, PAN 3.6%, CDS–Partido Popular 2.2% and LIVRE 1.9%. If an election were held in Portugal this Sunday, Bloco de Esquerda might gain the most in voter favorability with +4.1 growth since the last election. Chega, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-7.1) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Luís Montenegro is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Aliança Democrática. With 0.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Intercampus. For this purpose, 663 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (12.12.2022 - 14.12.2022).

Coalition possibilities

230
BE
21
CDU
10
PAN
8
L
4
PS
75
IL
20
PSD
61
CH
26
PP
5
Majority requires 116 seats
Partido Socialista + PSD
136
Partido Socialista + Bloco de Esquerda + CDU + PAN + LIVRE
Partido Socialista + Iniciativa Liberal + CDU + PAN + LIVRE
Partido Socialista + Bloco de Esquerda + Iniciativa Liberal
116
Partido Socialista + Bloco de Esquerda + CDU + PAN
Partido Socialista + Iniciativa Liberal + CDU + PAN

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Portugal was conducted by Intercampus. The survey took place between 12.12.2022 and 14.12.2022 among 663 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Partido Socialista 30.9%, PSD 25.3%, Chega 11%, Bloco de Esquerda 8.6%, Iniciativa Liberal 8.6%, CDU 4.4%, PAN 3.6%, CDS–Partido Popular 2.2% and LIVRE 1.9%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.