Portugal
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Elections

Portugal: Poll by Intercampus from 10.02.2023

Polling data

PS
28.4
-2.7
PSD
27.6
-1.9
CH
14.1
+3.4
IL
9.0
+1.4
BE
5.8
-1.7
CDU
4.7
+1.0
PAN
2.9
-0.8
L
1.6
-0.8
PP
1.1
+0.4
Others
4.8
0.0
Development since the last election on 30.01.2022
PS
-13.3
PSD
-0.2
CH
+6.9
IL
+4.0
BE
+1.1
CDU
+0.3
PAN
+1.4
L
+0.3
PP
-0.5
Intercampus – 602 respondents – 03.02.2023-10.02.2023

Portugal - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Portugal from Intercampus shows the following results: Partido Socialista 28.4%, PSD 27.6%, Chega 14.1%, Iniciativa Liberal 9%, Bloco de Esquerda 5.8%, CDU 4.7%, PAN 2.9%, LIVRE 1.6% and CDS–Partido Popular 1.1%. If an election were held in Portugal this Sunday, Chega might gain the most in voter favorability with +6.9 growth since the last election. Partido Socialista, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-13.3) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

António Costa is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Partido Socialista. With 29.8% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Intercampus. For this purpose, 602 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 7 days (03.02.2023 - 10.02.2023).

Low number of respondents
Only 602 eligible voters were polled for this election poll.
Next election: 2026
The next parliamentary election in Portugal is expected to take place in 2026.

Coalition possibilities

Partido Socialista + PSD
58.8
PSD + Chega + Iniciativa Liberal
53.3
Partido Socialista + Iniciativa Liberal + Bloco de Esquerda + CDU
50.3
Government might not stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties achieve 29.8% of the votes.

Frequently asked questions about election polls

election poll results
This election poll on the parliamentary election in Portugal was conducted by Intercampus. The survey took place between 03.02.2023 and 10.02.2023 among 602 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Partido Socialista 28.4%, PSD 27.6%, Chega 14.1%, Iniciativa Liberal 9%, Bloco de Esquerda 5.8%, CDU 4.7%, PAN 2.9%, LIVRE 1.6% and CDS–Partido Popular 1.1%.
How reliable are election polls?
Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.
What should you look out for in election polls?
Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.

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