Portugal
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Elections

Portugal: Poll by Aximage from 24.10.2023

Polling data

PS
28.6
-0.7
PSD
24.9
-0.7
CH
14.6
+1.0
BE
7.1
±0.0
IL
6.7
+1.4
PAN
4.8
+1.2
CDU
3.8
-0.5
L
2.9
+0.1
PP
1.6
-1.0
Sonst.
5.0
0.0
Development since the last election on 30.01.2022
PS
-13.1
PSD
-2.9
CH
+7.4
BE
+2.4
IL
+1.7
PAN
+3.3
CDU
-0.6
L
+1.6
PP
±0.0
Aximage – 805 respondents – 18.10.2023-24.10.2023
Next election: 10.03.2024
The next general election in Portugal will be held in 93.
Low number of respondents
Only 805 eligible voters were polled for this election poll.

Election poll results

Portugal - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Portugal from Aximage shows the following results: Partido Socialista 28.6%, PSD 24.9%, Chega 14.6%, Bloco de Esquerda 7.1%, Iniciativa Liberal 6.7%, PAN 4.8%, CDU 3.8%, LIVRE 2.9% and CDS–Partido Popular 1.6%. If an election were held in Portugal this Sunday, Chega might gain the most in voter favorability with +7.4 growth since the last election. Partido Socialista, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-13.1) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

António Costa is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Partido Socialista. With 30.1% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Aximage. For this purpose, 805 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 6 days (18.10.2023 - 24.10.2023).

Coalition possibilities

Partido Socialista + PSD
56.3
Partido Socialista + Bloco de Esquerda + Iniciativa Liberal + PAN + CDU
53.8
Partido Socialista + Bloco de Esquerda + Iniciativa Liberal + PAN + LIVRE
52.9
Partido Socialista + Bloco de Esquerda + Iniciativa Liberal + CDU + LIVRE
51.8
Partido Socialista + Bloco de Esquerda + Iniciativa Liberal + PAN
49.8
Partido Socialista + Bloco de Esquerda + PAN + CDU + LIVRE
49.8
Partido Socialista + Iniciativa Liberal + PAN + CDU + LIVRE
49.4

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in website.pt was conducted by Aximage. The survey took place between 18.10.2023 and 24.10.2023 among 805 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Partido Socialista 28.6%, PSD 24.9%, Chega 14.6%, Bloco de Esquerda 7.1%, Iniciativa Liberal 6.7%, PAN 4.8%, CDU 3.8%, LIVRE 2.9% and CDS–Partido Popular 1.6%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.