EU-Parliament: Poll by Intercampus from 20.05.2024

EU-Parliament: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
PS
23.1
-10.2
AD
22.0
-6.1
CH
18.1
+5.1
IL
12.0
+7.6
BE
9.2
+1.8
L
6.9
+1.1
PAN
4.0
+2.7
CDU
3.7
+0.4
Others
1.0
-2.4
Development since the last election on 09.06.2024
PS
New
AD
New
CH
New
IL
New
BE
New
L
New
PAN
New
CDU
New
Intercampus – 609 respondents – 12.05.2024-20.05.2024

Next election: 2029

The next elections of the EU parliament is expected to take place in 2029.

Low number of respondents

Only 609 eligible voters were polled for this election poll.

Institute often rates Aliança Democrática lower

In 42% of election polls Intercampus rates Aliança Democrática lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Bloco de Esquerda higher

In 45% of election polls, Intercampus rates Bloco de Esquerda higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Iniciativa Liberal higher

In 35% of election polls, Intercampus rates Iniciativa Liberal higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Partido Socialista lower

In 38% of election polls Intercampus rates Partido Socialista lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

EU-Parliament - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in EU-Parliament from Intercampus shows the following results: Partido Socialista 23.1%, Aliança Democrática 22%, Chega 18.1%, Iniciativa Liberal 12%, Bloco de Esquerda 9.2%, LIVRE 6.9%, PAN 4% and CDU 3.7%. If an election were held in EU-Parliament this Sunday, Partido Socialista might gain the most in voter favorability with New growth since the last election. Partido Socialista, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (New) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Currently governing with a Unknown orientation from . With 0.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Intercampus. For this purpose, 609 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 8 days (12.05.2024 - 20.05.2024).

Coalition possibilities

96
Majority requires 49 seats
BE
9
9.4%
CDU
3
3.1%
L
6
6.3%
PAN
3
3.1%
PS
23
24%
IL
12
12.5%
AD
22
22.9%
CH
18
18.8%
0.0%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in EU-Parliament was conducted by Intercampus. The survey took place between 12.05.2024 and 20.05.2024 among 609 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Partido Socialista 23.1%, Aliança Democrática 22%, Chega 18.1%, Iniciativa Liberal 12%, Bloco de Esquerda 9.2%, LIVRE 6.9%, PAN 4% and CDU 3.7%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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