Rhineland-Palatinate: Opinion poll by INSA on 04/01/2025

To make parties easier to compare, the symbols indicate a party’s political orientation. These categories provide a quick overview. More detailed information on political positions can be found on the party subpages.

Far left

Left

Centre-left

Centre

Transversal

Unknown

Centre-right

Right

Far right

Liberal

Environment & climate

Regional

Animal rights

Satirical

INSA

BILD

03/25/2025 - 04/01/2025

1000 respondents

Next Election: 03/22/2026

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Government would likely lose its majority

Based on the poll by INSA, the governing parties reach 43.7% of the seats.

Current election trend for Rhineland-Palatinate

Poll results, coalitions, and election outcomes

All election polls

Latest polls from all institutes and historical opinion polls

What do the parties stand for?

Information, comparisons, and data on parties in Rhineland-Palatinate

INSA at a glance

PolitPro Score

INSA scores 84 out of 100 points in the PolitPro Score.

1.5

Election accuracy

On average, the poll results of INSA deviate by 1.5 percentage points from the final election result.

Overestimates AfD

In 26% of polls, INSA rates AfD higher than the overall PolitPro election trend.

Underestimates Grüne

In 30% of polls, INSA rates Grüne lower than the overall PolitPro election trend.

INSA at a glance

Poll results, election accuracy, and party bias

Which institutes are most reliable?

Election accuracy and party bias

Coalition options

101

Majority from 51 seats

Electoral threshold

The electoral threshold in Rhineland-Palatinate is 5%.

Who could enter parliament?

In the current election trend, 6 parties could enter parliament: CDU with 32 MPs, SPD with 31 MPs, Grüne with 15 MPs, AfD with 13 MPs, FDP with 5 MPs and Freie Wähler with 5 MPs.

The electoral system in Rhineland-Palatinate

Rhineland-Palatinate uses "Constituency Votes" and "State Votes" for at least 101 seats. It utilizes the Sainte-Laguë method, ensuring a very fair mapping of votes to mandates. The state places high value on regional representation by linking local and state lists.

Electoral threshold and entry barriers

A strict 5% threshold applies. Smaller parties like the Free Voters (Freie Wähler) have recently shown that deep regional roots can crack the 5% mark. No basic mandate clause exists.

Government formation and coalition traditions

Rhineland-Palatinate is famous for its "Traffic Light" (SPD, Green, FDP) coalition, which was successfully practiced here long before the federal level. Government formation in Mainz is characterized by a culture of dialogue and compromise.

CDU + SPD

Centre

62.4%

CDU + Grüne + FDP

Centre-right

51.5%

CDU + Grüne + Freie Wähler

Centre-right

51.5%

SPD + Grüne + FDP

Centre-left

50.5%

SPD + Grüne + Freie Wähler

Centre-left

50.5%

CDU + Grüne

Centre-right

46.5%

SPD + Grüne

Centre-left

45.5%

CDU + AfD

Centre-right

44.6%

Go to the coalition calculator

Who could govern with whom?

Important political parties in Rhineland-Palatinate

Key players in parliamentary competition

This overview shows all parties that, based on current polling, have a realistic chance of entering parliament in Rhineland-Palatinate or significantly shape the political debate. Classifying their political orientation is essential for understanding bloc formation and the mathematically possible majorities in the next parliament.

More parties

All political parties in Rhineland-Palatinate at a glance

What do the parties stand for?

Information, comparisons, and data on parties in Rhineland-Palatinate

Sources of data and information

PolitPro

PolitPro brings together scientific data and current poll results to make politics tangible for everyone. We use datasets from leading research projects and complement them with our own research, analyses, and algorithms. This allows us to make complex political contexts accessible and easy to understand. Supported by AI.

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