Opinion poll results

CDU
SPD
AfD
Grüne
Linke
FW
BSW
FDP
28.0
24.5
18.0
10.5
5.5
4.0
3.0
2.0
+1.0
-1.5
-2.0
+2.0
+4.0
-3.5
+3.0
-1.5
Other
4.5
-1.5

Changes since the last election on 03/14/2021

CDU
+0.3
SPD
-11.2
AfD
+9.7
Grüne
+1.2
Linke
+3.0
FW
-1.4
BSW
+3.0
FDP
-3.5

Political orientation of parties

CDU
SPD
AfD
Grüne
Linke
FW
BSW
FDP
What do the symbols mean?
To make parties easier to compare, the symbols indicate a party’s political orientation. These categories provide a quick overview. More detailed information on political positions can be found on the party subpages.
Far left
Left
Centre-left
Centre
Transversal
Unknown
Centre-right
Right
Far right
Liberal
Environment & climate
Regional
Animal rights
Satirical

06/06/2025 - 06/19/2025

1400 respondents

Next Election: 03/22/2026

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Government would likely lose its majority

Based on the poll by Institut Wahlkreisprognose, the governing parties reach 43.7% of the seats.
Current election trend for Rhineland-Palatinate
Poll results, coalitions, and election outcomes
All election polls
Latest polls from all institutes and historical opinion polls
What do the parties stand for?
Information, comparisons, and data on parties in Rhineland-Palatinate

Institut Wahlkreisprognose at a glance

87

PolitPro Score

Institut Wahlkreisprognose scores 87 out of 100 points in the PolitPro Score.
1.1

Election accuracy

On average, the poll results of Institut Wahlkreisprognose deviate by 1.1 percentage points from the final election result.
Institut Wahlkreisprognose at a glance
Poll results, election accuracy, and party bias
Which institutes are most reliable?
Election accuracy and party bias

Coalition options

101
Majority from 51 seats
CDU
33
32.7%
SPD
29
28.7%
AfD
21
20.8%
Grüne
12
11.9%
Linke
6
5.9%

Electoral threshold

The electoral threshold in Rhineland-Palatinate is 5%.

Who could enter parliament?
In the current election trend, 5 parties could enter parliament: CDU with 33 MPs, SPD with 29 MPs, AfD with 21 MPs, Grüne with 12 MPs and Die Linke with 6 MPs.

The electoral system in Rhineland-Palatinate
Rhineland-Palatinate uses "Constituency Votes" and "State Votes" for at least 101 seats. It utilizes the Sainte-Laguë method, ensuring a very fair mapping of votes to mandates. The state places high value on regional representation by linking local and state lists.

Electoral threshold and entry barriers
A strict 5% threshold applies. Smaller parties like the Free Voters (Freie Wähler) have recently shown that deep regional roots can crack the 5% mark. No basic mandate clause exists.

Government formation and coalition traditions
Rhineland-Palatinate is famous for its "Traffic Light" (SPD, Green, FDP) coalition, which was successfully practiced here long before the federal level. Government formation in Mainz is characterized by a culture of dialogue and compromise.
CDU + SPD
Centre
61.4%
CDU + AfD
Centre-right
53.5%
SPD + Grüne + Die Linke
Centre-left
46.5%
CDU + Grüne
Centre-right
44.6%
Go to the coalition calculator
Who could govern with whom?

Important political parties in Rhineland-Palatinate

Key players in parliamentary competition
This overview shows all parties that, based on current polling, have a realistic chance of entering parliament in Rhineland-Palatinate or significantly shape the political debate. Classifying their political orientation is essential for understanding bloc formation and the mathematically possible majorities in the next parliament.
More parties
All political parties in Rhineland-Palatinate at a glance
What do the parties stand for?
Information, comparisons, and data on parties in Rhineland-Palatinate

Sources of data and information

PolitPro

PolitPro brings together scientific data and current poll results to make politics tangible for everyone. We use datasets from leading research projects and complement them with our own research, analyses, and algorithms. This allows us to make complex political contexts accessible and easy to understand. Supported by AI.

Found a mistake?

Political data changes every day. If you notice an error, feel free to send us an email. A short source reference helps us review the information.