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Rhineland-Palatinate Institut Wahlkreisprognose: Latest Poll for the Rhineland-Palatinate Parliamentary Election, June 19, 2025

Strongest Force
CDU
3.5 points ahead of SPD
Government Majority
Stable Majority
62 of 101 seats in the Election Trend
Election year
2031
estimated

Rhineland-Palatinate Parliamentary Election: Latest Voting Intention Poll

The bars show the results of this single poll; the chips show the change compared to the last election. Institut Wahlkreisprognose: latest poll for the Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary election, fieldwork concluded June 19, 2025.

Changes since the last election on March 14, 2021

CDU
28.0
+0.3
SPD
24.5
-11.2
AfD
18.0
+9.7
10.5
+1.2
5.5
+3.0
FW
4.0
-1.4
BSW
3.0
+3.0
FDP
2.0
-3.5
Other
4.5
Client
N/A
Survey Period
June 6, 2025 – June 19, 2025
Respondents
1,400
Rhineland-Palatinate's governing coalition secures a stable majority.

Based on this poll, the parties currently in government would win 61.4% of the parliamentary seats.

Who is leading according to the poll by Institut Wahlkreisprognose?

A recent Rhineland-Palatinate voting intention poll by Institut Wahlkreisprognose shows CDU leading with 28%. Trailing are SPD with 24.5%, AfD with 18%, Grüne with 10.5%, Die Linke with 5.5%, Freie Wähler with 4%, BSW with 3% and FDP with 2%. Other parties achieve 4.5% of the votes.

What do the symbols mean?

To make parties comparable, we indicate their political orientation with symbols. These categories provide a rough classification for a quick overview. More detailed information on political stances can be found on the parties' subpages.

  • Far-Left
  • Left
  • Centre-Left
  • Center
  • Transversal
  • Unknown
  • Centre-Right
  • Right
  • Far-Right
  • Liberal
  • Environment & Climate
  • Regional
  • Animal Welfare
  • Satire

Seat projection based on this poll

Institut Wahlkreisprognose: how reliable is the projection?

87 PolitPro Score Rank 1 of 13 in Rhineland-Palatinate
Score from 0 to 100 Avg. all polling institutes: 81.1
Avg. deviation in elections
1.1 pp

16 election comparisons

Recorded polls
242

Last on June 19, 2025

Deviations from the Election Trend

Party often overestimated Party often underestimated

No significant deviations from the Election Trend

What is the PolitPro Score for polling institutes?

In the PolitPro Score for polling institutes, we assess the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and their deviation from the Election Trend. Significant deviations in party values compared to the Election Trend lead to deductions, as they can indicate favoritism or disadvantage for parties. The score has a maximum value of 100.

Coalition calculator: majorities based on this poll

0
53
0 105
Majority 53

Parties

Select parties to test coalitions.

Scenarios: What if...?

Select all parties near the electoral threshold that should enter parliament. electoral threshold at 5%.

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Institut Wahlkreisprognose: Projected composition of parliament

This poll indicates 5 parties would surpass the electoral threshold and enter the Rhineland-Palatinate parliament: CDU with 33 seats, SPD with 29 seats, AfD with 21 seats, Grüne with 12 seats and Die Linke with 6 seats.

The electoral system in Rhineland-Palatinate

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Electoral Threshold and Hurdles

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Government formation and coalition traditions

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