Rhineland-Palatinate: Poll by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen from 04.03.2021

Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
SPD
33.0
+2.0
CDU
29.0
-4.0
Grüne
11.0
-2.0
AfD
9.0
+2.0
FDP
7.0
+2.0
FW
4.0
+4.0
Linke
3.0
-1.0
Others
4.0
-3.0
Development since the last election on 14.03.2021
SPD
-2.7
CDU
+1.3
Grüne
+1.7
AfD
+0.7
FDP
+1.5
FW
-1.4
Linke
+0.5
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen – 998 respondents – 01.03.2021-04.03.2021

Next election: 2026

The next parliamentary election in Rhineland-Palatinate is expected to take place in 2026.

Institute often rates Grüne higher

In 38% of election polls, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen rates Grüne higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Rhineland-Palatinate - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Rhineland-Palatinate from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen shows the following results: SPD 33%, CDU 29%, Grüne 11%, AfD 9%, FDP 7%, Freie Wähler 4% and Die Linke 3%. If an election were held in Rhineland-Palatinate this Sunday, Grüne might gain the most in voter favorability with +1.7 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Malu Dreyer is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Grüne, FDP and SPD. With 57.4% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen. For this purpose, 998 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (01.03.2021 - 04.03.2021).

Coalition possibilities

101
Majority requires 51 seats
SPD
37
36.6%
Grüne
13
12.9%
FDP
8
7.9%
CDU
33
32.7%
AfD
10
9.9%
SPD + CDU
69.3%
SPD + Grüne + FDP
57.4%
CDU + Grüne + FDP
53.5%
CDU + AfD + FDP
50.5%
SPD + Grüne
49.5%
CDU + Grüne
45.5%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Rhineland-Palatinate was conducted by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen. The survey took place between 01.03.2021 and 04.03.2021 among 998 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SPD 33%, CDU 29%, Grüne 11%, AfD 9%, FDP 7%, Freie Wähler 4% and Die Linke 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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