Upcoming elections:

Rhineland-Palatinate: Poll by Institut Wahlkreisprognose from 11.12.2023

Polling data

CDU
27.0
+2.0
SPD
26.0
-3.0
AfD
20.0
+4.0
Grüne
8.5
-2.5
FW
7.5
+1.0
FDP
3.5
-1.5
Linke
1.5
-0.5
Sonst.
6.0
+0.5
Institut Wahlkreisprognose – 1237 respondents – 02.12.2023-11.12.2023
Next election: 2026
The next parliamentary election in Rhineland-Palatinate is expected to take place in 2026.

Election poll results

Rhineland-Palatinate - The latest poll for the State election in Rhineland-Palatinate from Institut Wahlkreisprognose shows the following results: CDU 27%, SPD 26%, AfD 20%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.5%, Freie Wähler 7.5%, FDP 3.5% and Die Linke 1.5%. If an election were held in Rhineland-Palatinate this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +11.7 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-9.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Malu Dreyer is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, FDP and SPD. With 38.8% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. For this purpose, 1237 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 9 days (02.12.2023 - 11.12.2023).

Coalition possibilities

101
SPD
29
Grüne
10
CDU
31
FW
8
AfD
23
Majority requires 51 seats
CDU + SPD
60
CDU + AfD
54

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Rhineland-Palatinate was conducted by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. The survey took place between 02.12.2023 and 11.12.2023 among 1237 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU 27%, SPD 26%, AfD 20%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.5%, Freie Wähler 7.5%, FDP 3.5% and Die Linke 1.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.