Rhineland-Palatinate: Poll by Institut Wahlkreisprognose from 11.12.2023

Rhineland-Palatinate: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
CDU
27.0
+2.0
SPD
26.0
-3.0
AfD
20.0
+4.0
Grüne
8.5
-2.5
FW
7.5
+1.0
FDP
3.5
-1.5
Linke
1.5
-0.5
Others
6.0
+0.5
Development since the last election on 14.03.2021
CDU
-0.7
SPD
-9.7
AfD
+11.7
Grüne
-0.8
FW
+2.1
FDP
-2.0
Linke
-1.0
Institut Wahlkreisprognose – 1237 respondents – 02.12.2023-11.12.2023

Next election: 22.03.2026

The next general election in Rhineland-Palatinate will be held in 129.

Election poll results

Rhineland-Palatinate - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Rhineland-Palatinate from Institut Wahlkreisprognose shows the following results: CDU 27%, SPD 26%, AfD 20%, Grüne 8.5%, Freie Wähler 7.5%, FDP 3.5% and Die Linke 1.5%. If an election were held in Rhineland-Palatinate this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +11.7 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-9.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Malu Dreyer is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Grüne, FDP and SPD. With 38.6% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. For this purpose, 1237 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 9 days (02.12.2023 - 11.12.2023).

Coalition possibilities

101
Majority requires 51 seats
SPD
29
28.7%
Grüne
10
9.9%
CDU
31
30.7%
FW
8
7.9%
AfD
23
22.8%
CDU + SPD
59.4%
CDU + AfD
53.5%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Rhineland-Palatinate was conducted by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. The survey took place between 02.12.2023 and 11.12.2023 among 1237 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU 27%, SPD 26%, AfD 20%, Grüne 8.5%, Freie Wähler 7.5%, FDP 3.5% and Die Linke 1.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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