Rhineland-Palatinate: Poll by Infratest dimap from 09.07.2024

Polling data

CDU
31.0
±0.0
SPD
21.0
-1.0
AfD
12.0
-3.0
Grüne
10.0
±0.0
FW
7.0
±0.0
BSW
5.0
+1.0
FDP
5.0
+1.0
Others
9.0
+2.0
Development since the last election on 14.03.2021
CDU
+3.3
SPD
-14.7
AfD
+3.7
Grüne
+0.7
FW
+1.6
BSW
New
FDP
-0.5
Infratest dimap – 1165 respondents – 04.07.2024-09.07.2024

Next election: 2026

The next parliamentary election in Rhineland-Palatinate is expected to take place in 2026.

Election poll results

Rhineland-Palatinate - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Rhineland-Palatinate from Infratest dimap shows the following results: CDU 31%, SPD 21%, AfD 12%, Grüne 10%, Freie Wähler 7%, BSW 5% and FDP 5%. If an election were held in Rhineland-Palatinate this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.7 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-14.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Malu Dreyer is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Grüne, FDP and SPD. With 39.6% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Infratest dimap. For this purpose, 1165 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 5 days (04.07.2024 - 09.07.2024).

Coalition possibilities

101
Majority requires 51 seats
SPD
23
22.8%
Grüne
11
10.9%
BSW
6
5.9%
FDP
6
5.9%
CDU
34
33.7%
FW
8
7.9%
AfD
13
12.9%
CDU + SPD
56.4%
CDU + AfD + Freie Wähler
54.5%
SPD + Grüne + Freie Wähler + FDP + BSW
53.5%
CDU + Freie Wähler + FDP + BSW
53.5%
CDU + Grüne + Freie Wähler
52.5%
CDU + AfD + FDP
52.5%
CDU + AfD + BSW
52.5%
CDU + Grüne + FDP
50.5%
CDU + Grüne + BSW
50.5%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Rhineland-Palatinate was conducted by Infratest dimap. The survey took place between 04.07.2024 and 09.07.2024 among 1165 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU 31%, SPD 21%, AfD 12%, Grüne 10%, Freie Wähler 7%, BSW 5% and FDP 5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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