Latest voting intention survey by Atlas Intel for Romania
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Romania conducted by Atlas Intel, the parties received the following results: AUR 22.4%, PSD 21.4%, USR 17.5%, PNL 13.4%, UDMR 5.5%, POT 4.6%, S.O.S. 4.6%, FD 2.5%, SENS 2.5%, REPER 1.5% and DREPT 0.9%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 2116 people during the period 28.11.2024 - 28.11.2024.
2116 participants
26.11.2024 - 28.11.2024
Atlas Intel
AUR
22.4
+6.7
PSD
21.4
+0.5
USR
17.5
+0.2
PNL
13.4
+0.8
UDMR
5.5
-0.3
POT
4.6
+4.6
SOS
4.6
-2.0
FD
2.5
-1.9
SENS
2.5
+2.5
REPER
1.5
-2.2
DREPT
0.9
+0.9
Others
3.2
-9.8
This poll is more than 3 months old.
Seats in parliament
330
Majority requires 166 seats
PSD
88
26.7%
USR
72
21.8%
UDMR
22
6.7%
PNL
55
16.7%
AUR
93
28.2%
AUR + USR + PNL
PSD + USR + PNL
AUR + USR + UDMR
PSD + USR + UDMR
AUR + PNL + UDMR
PSD + PNL + UDMR
AUR + USR
?
PolitPro Score
Atlas Intel achieves a score of ?/100 in the PolitPro Score.
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
2.3
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Atlas Intel pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 2.3 percentage points.
Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections
| Deviation | Election | Rank |
|---|---|---|
|
2.27
|
Parliamentary Election in Rumänien 2024 | 1/3 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.