Current election polls and polling data from Avangarde

Latest voting intention survey by Avangarde for Romania

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Romania conducted by Avangarde, the parties received the following results: AUR 29%, PSD 22%, PNL 13%, USR 13%, S.O.S. 8%, POT 5%, UDMR 4%, PMP 3% and FD 2%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1354 people during the period 16.01.2025 - 16.01.2025.
1354 participants
10.01.2025 - 16.01.2025
Avangarde
AUR
29.0
+18.0
PSD
22.0
-15.0
PNL
13.0
-10.0
USR
13.0
+4.0
SOS
8.0
+8.0
POT
5.0
+5.0
UDMR
4.0
-1.0
PMP
3.0
-1.0
FD
2.0
±0.0
Others
1.0
-8.0

Seats in parliament

330
Majority requires 166 seats
PSD
81
24.5%
USR
47
14.2%
PNL
48
14.5%
AUR
107
32.4%
SOS
29
8.8%
POT
18
5.5%
AUR + PNL + USR
61.2%
AUR + PNL + S.O.S.
55.8%
AUR + USR + S.O.S.
55.5%
PSD + PNL + USR
53.3%

62

PolitPro Score

Avangarde achieves a score of 62/100 in the PolitPro Score.

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.

Rating of parties

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
AUR
0
92
8
FD
Not enough data available
PMP
6
88
6
PNL
33
56
11
POT
Not enough data available
PSD
0
67
33
SOS
Not enough data available
UDMR
0
100
0
USR
12
88
0

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.