Current election polls and polling data from Avangarde

Latest voting intention survey by Avangarde for Romania

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Romania conducted by Avangarde, the parties received the following results: AUR 41%, PSD 19%, PNL 13%, USR 12%, UDMR 6%, POT 2%, S.O.S. 2%, DREPT 1%, FD 1% and PMP 1%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1300 people during the period 18.09.2025 - 18.09.2025.
1300 participants
09.09.2025 - 18.09.2025
Avangarde
AUR
41.0
+9.0
PSD
19.0
-1.0
PNL
13.0
-3.0
USR
12.0
-3.0
UDMR
6.0
+1.0
POT
2.0
-1.0
SOS
2.0
-2.0
DREPT
1.0
±0.0
FD
1.0
±0.0
PMP
1.0
±0.0
Others
2.0
±0.0

Seats in parliament

330
Majority requires 166 seats
PSD
69
20.9%
USR
43
13%
UDMR
21
6.4%
PNL
47
14.2%
AUR
150
45.5%
AUR + PNL
59.7%
AUR + USR
58.5%
PSD + PNL + USR + UDMR
54.5%
AUR + UDMR
51.8%
AUR
45.5%

73

PolitPro Score

Avangarde achieves a score of 73/100 in the PolitPro Score.

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.

Rating of parties

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
AUR
7
80
13
DREPT
Not enough data available
FD
Not enough data available
PMP
6
88
6
PNL
35
55
10
POT
Not enough data available
PSD
5
65
30
SOS
Not enough data available
UDMR
0
100
0
USR
11
84
5

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.