Latest polls from CURS
Rating of parties
Institute often rates AUR lower
In 52% of election polls CURS rates AUR lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PNL lower
In 31% of election polls CURS rates PNL lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PSD higher
In 52% of election polls, CURS rates PSD higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates USR lower
In 42% of election polls CURS rates USR lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in CURS pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.0 percentage points.
Average ranking
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, CURS's average ranking is 3.0.
0x the most accurate prediction
2
1x the second best prediction
3
0x the third best prediction
4
1x on rank 4