Current election polls and polling data from INSCOP

Latest voting intention survey by INSCOP for Romania

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Romania conducted by INSCOP, the parties received the following results: PSD 31.1%, AUR 20.7%, PNL 16.2%, USR 12.7%, S.O.S. 5.9%, UDMR 4.5%, REPER 2.6%, DREPT 1.2%, PER 1.2%, FD 1.1% and SENS 1%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1100 people during the period 12.11.2024 - 12.11.2024. The survey was commissioned by Libertatea.
1100 participants
07.11.2024 - 12.11.2024
INSCOP
Libertatea
PSD
31.1
+0.9
AUR
20.7
-0.7
PNL
16.2
+3.0
USR
12.7
±0.0
SOS
5.9
-2.2
UDMR
4.5
+0.8
REPER
2.6
+0.1
DREPT
1.2
+1.2
PER
1.2
-0.9
FD
1.1
+0.4
SENS
1.0
+1.0
Others
1.8
-3.6

Seats in parliament

330
Majority requires 166 seats
PSD
119
36.1%
USR
48
14.5%
PNL
62
18.8%
AUR
79
23.9%
SOS
22
6.7%
AUR + PNL + USR
57.3%
PSD + PNL
54.8%
PSD + USR
50.6%
AUR + PNL + S.O.S.
49.4%

51

PolitPro Score

INSCOP achieves a score of 51/100 in the PolitPro Score.

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.

Rating of parties

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
AUR
0
27
73
DREPT
Not enough data available
FD
Not enough data available
PER
Not enough data available
PNL
25
44
31
PSD
25
63
13
REPER
33
67
0
SENS
Not enough data available
SOS
13
88
0
UDMR
0
100
0
USR
38
56
6

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.

Accuracy in elections

3.1

Average deviation

On average, party poll results in INSCOP pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 3.1 percentage points.

Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections

Deviation Election Rank
3.07
Parliamentary Election in Rumänien 2024 2/3

How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?

The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.