Latest polls from INSCOP
31.1
20.7
16.2
12.7
5.9
4.5
2.6
1.2
1.2
1.1
1
1.8
30.2
21.4
13.2
12.7
8.1
3.7
2.5
2.3
2.1
1.4
0.7
1.7
30.1
17.1
14.7
14.3
8.9
5
1.9
1.4
0.9
0.8
0.7
0.3
3.9
Rating of parties
Institute often rates AUR higher
In 73% of election polls, INSCOP rates AUR higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PMP lower
In 50% of election polls INSCOP rates PMP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PNL higher
In 31% of election polls, INSCOP rates PNL higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates USR lower
In 38% of election polls INSCOP rates USR lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in INSCOP pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.5 percentage points.
Average ranking
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, INSCOP's average ranking is 8.0.
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