Latest voting intention survey by INSCOP for Romania
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Romania conducted by INSCOP, the parties received the following results: PSD 31.1%, AUR 20.7%, PNL 16.2%, USR 12.7%, S.O.S. 5.9%, UDMR 4.5%, REPER 2.6%, DREPT 1.2%, PER 1.2%, FD 1.1% and SENS 1%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1100 people during the period 12.11.2024 - 12.11.2024. The survey was commissioned by Libertatea.
1100 participants
07.11.2024 - 12.11.2024
INSCOP
Libertatea
Seats in parliament
330
Majority requires 166 seats
PSD
119
36.1%
USR
48
14.5%
PNL
62
18.8%
AUR
79
23.9%
SOS
22
6.7%
AUR + PNL + USR
PSD + PNL
PSD + USR
AUR + PNL + S.O.S.
51
PolitPro Score
INSCOP achieves a score of 51/100 in the PolitPro Score.
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
3.1
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in INSCOP pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 3.1 percentage points.
Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections
Deviation | Election | Rank |
---|---|---|
3.07
|
Parliamentary Election in Rumänien 2024 | 2/3 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.