Latest voting intention survey by IRES for Romania
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Romania conducted by IRES, the parties received the following results: PSD 35%, PNL 27%, USR 14%, AUR 14%, UDMR 5%, PMP 2%, PRO România 2% and ALDE 1%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1006 people during the period 19.08.2021 - 19.08.2021.
1006 participants
16.08.2021 - 19.08.2021
IRES
Seats in parliament
330
Majority requires 166 seats
PSD
122
37%
USR
49
14.8%
UDMR
17
5.2%
PNL
94
28.5%
AUR
48
14.5%
PSD + PNL
PNL + USR + AUR
PSD + USR
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
3.9
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in IRES pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 3.9 percentage points.
Average deviation of pre-election polls from the last election results
| Deviation | Election | Rank |
|---|---|---|
|
3.86
|
Parliamentary Election in Rumänien 2020 | 5/5 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
We compare pre-election polls from the institutes with the actual election results. This involves calculating the average deviation of party values and deriving an overall average. All parties with an election result of 3% or higher are included in the calculation.