Latest voting intention survey by Sociopol for Romania
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Romania conducted by Sociopol, the parties received the following results: PSD 29%, AUR 23%, PNL 15%, USR 15%, UDMR 5%, PER 3%, PMP 3%, S.O.S. 3%, PRO România 2% and FD 1%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1004 people during the period 19.09.2023 - 19.09.2023.
1004 participants
08.09.2023 - 19.09.2023
Sociopol
PSD
29.0
-7.0
AUR
23.0
+9.0
PNL
15.0
-4.0
USR
15.0
+4.0
UDMR
5.0
+1.0
PER
3.0
±0.0
PMP
3.0
+1.0
SOS
3.0
+3.0
PRO
2.0
±0.0
FD
1.0
±0.0
Others
1.0
-7.0
This poll is more than 3 months old.
Seats in parliament
330
Majority requires 166 seats
PSD
111
33.6%
USR
57
17.3%
UDMR
18
5.5%
PNL
57
17.3%
AUR
87
26.4%
AUR + USR + PNL
PSD + PNL
PSD + USR
AUR + PNL + UDMR
AUR + USR + UDMR
58
PolitPro Score
Sociopol achieves a score of 58/100 in the PolitPro Score.
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
1.9
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Sociopol pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.9 percentage points.
Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections
| Deviation | Election | Rank |
|---|---|---|
|
1.89
|
Parliamentary Election in Rumänien 2020 | 1/5 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.