Latest polls from Sociopol
Accuracy in elections
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Sociopol pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 2.1 percentage points.
Average ranking
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, Sociopol's average ranking is 3.0.
0x the most accurate prediction
2
0x the second best prediction
3
1x the third best prediction
Rating of parties
Institute often rates ALDE lower
In 50% of election polls Sociopol rates ALDE lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PMP lower
In 56% of election polls Sociopol rates PMP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PNL lower
In 53% of election polls Sociopol rates PNL lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PSD higher
In 47% of election polls, Sociopol rates PSD higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
