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Romania Romania: AUR Leads Poll in Romania (ARA poll from 11.02.2026)

— The poll places AUR in the lead with 37 percent, followed by PSD at 25 percent and PNL at 17 percent.

Strongest Force
AUR
12.0 points ahead of PSD
Government Majority
No Majority
114 of 330 seats in the Election Trend
Election year
2028
estimated
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Voting Intention Poll for Romania's Parliamentary Election

The bars show the results of this single poll; the chips show the change compared to the last election. ARA: latest poll for the Romanian Parliamentary election, fieldwork concluded 11 February 2026.

Changes since the last election on 1 December 2024

AUR
37.0
+19.1
PSD
25.0
+2.9
PNL
17.0
+3.7
USR
11.0
-1.3
UDMR
5.0
-1.4
Other
5.0
Institute
ARA
Client
N/A
Survey Period
11/02/2026
Romania's current government lacks a governing majority

Based on this poll, the parties currently in government would win 34.5% of the parliamentary seats.

Who is leading according to the poll by ARA?

A recent voting intention poll for Romania by ARA shows AUR leading with 37%, followed by PSD with 25%, PNL with 17%, USR with 11% and UDMR with 5%. Other parties achieve 5% of the votes.

What do the symbols mean?

To make parties comparable, we indicate their political orientation with symbols. These categories provide a rough classification for a quick overview. More detailed information on political stances can be found on the parties' subpages.

  • Far-Left
  • Left
  • Centre-Left
  • Center
  • Transversal
  • Unknown
  • Centre-Right
  • Right
  • Far-Right
  • Liberal
  • Environment & Climate
  • Regional
  • Animal Welfare
  • Satire

Seat projection based on this poll

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ARA: how reliable is the projection?

? PolitPro Score

No score calculated yet

Avg. deviation in elections
–

No election comparison yet

Recorded polls
0

Last on 11 February 2026

Deviations from the Election Trend

Party often overestimated Party often underestimated

No significant deviations from the Election Trend

What is the PolitPro Score for polling institutes?

In the PolitPro Score for polling institutes, we assess the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and their deviation from the Election Trend. Significant deviations in party values compared to the Election Trend lead to deductions, as they can indicate favoritism or disadvantage for parties. The score has a maximum value of 100.

To Institute

Coalition calculator: majorities based on this poll

0
166
0 330
Majority 166

Parties

Select parties to test coalitions.

Scenarios: What if...?

Select all parties near the electoral threshold that should enter parliament. electoral threshold at 5%.

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ARA: Projected composition of parliament

Based on this poll, 5 parties are projected to clear the electoral threshold and enter the Romanian Parliament: AUR with 129 seats, PSD with 87 seats, PNL with 59 seats, USR with 38 seats and UDMR with 17 seats.

Romania's Electoral System

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Electoral Threshold and Hurdles

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Government formation and coalition traditions

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