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Romania Sociopol: latest election poll for the Romanian Parliamentary election from 3 April 2026

Strongest Force
AUR
18.0 points ahead of PSD
Government Majority
No Majority
127 of 330 seats in the Election Trend
Election year
2028
estimated

Voting Intention Poll for Romania's Parliamentary Election

The bars show the results of this single poll; the chips show the change compared to the last election. Sociopol: latest poll for the Romanian Parliamentary election, fieldwork concluded 3 April 2026.

Changes since the last election on 1 December 2024

AUR
36.0
+18.1
PSD
18.0
-4.1
USR
18.0
+5.7
PNL
16.0
+2.7
4.0
-2.4
2.0
-1.0
POT
1.0
-5.4
1.0
+1.0
SOS
1.0
-6.3
Other
3.0
Institute
Sociopol
Survey Period
26/03/2026 – 03/04/2026
Respondents
1,008
Romania's current government lacks a governing majority

Based on this poll, the parties currently in government would win 38.5% of the parliamentary seats.

Who is leading according to the poll by Sociopol?

A recent voting intention poll for Romania by Sociopol shows AUR leading with 36%, followed by PSD with 18%, USR with 18%, PNL with 16%, UDMR with 4%, SENS with 2%, Partidul Oamenilor Tineri with 1%, REPER with 1% and S.O.S. România with 1%. Other parties achieve 3% of the votes.

What do the symbols mean?

To make parties comparable, we indicate their political orientation with symbols. These categories provide a rough classification for a quick overview. More detailed information on political stances can be found on the parties' subpages.

  • Far-Left
  • Left
  • Centre-Left
  • Center
  • Transversal
  • Unknown
  • Centre-Right
  • Right
  • Far-Right
  • Liberal
  • Environment & Climate
  • Regional
  • Animal Welfare
  • Satire

Seat projection based on this poll

Sociopol: how reliable is the projection?

65 PolitPro Score Rank 3 of 5 in Romania
Score from 0 to 100 Avg. all polling institutes: 63.2
Avg. deviation in elections
1.9 pp

1 election comparisons

Recorded polls
8

Last on 3 April 2026

Deviations from the Election Trend

Party often overestimated Party often underestimated

What is the PolitPro Score for polling institutes?

In the PolitPro Score for polling institutes, we assess the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and their deviation from the Election Trend. Significant deviations in party values compared to the Election Trend lead to deductions, as they can indicate favoritism or disadvantage for parties. The score has a maximum value of 100.

Coalition calculator: majorities based on this poll

0
166
0 330
Majority 166

Parties

Select parties to test coalitions.

Scenarios: What if...?

Select all parties near the electoral threshold that should enter parliament. electoral threshold at 5%.

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Sociopol: Projected composition of parliament

Based on this poll, 4 parties are projected to clear the electoral threshold and enter the Romanian Parliament: AUR with 136 seats, PSD with 67 seats, USR with 67 seats and PNL with 60 seats.

Romania's Electoral System

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Electoral Threshold and Hurdles

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Government formation and coalition traditions

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