Romania: Poll by Avangarde from 31.07.2022

Polling data

PSD
37.0
+2.0
PNL
23.0
+3.0
AUR
11.0
-1.0
USR
9.0
±0.0
UDMR
5.0
±0.0
PMP
4.0
-1.0
PPU
3.0
-1.0
APP
2.0
±0.0
FD
2.0
±0.0
PRO
1.0
-1.0
REPER
1.0
-1.0
Sonst.
2.0
±0.0
Avangarde – 902 respondents – 22.07.2022-31.07.2022
Next election: 2024
The next parliamentary election in Romania is expected to take place in 2024.

Election poll results

Romania - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Romania from Avangarde shows the following results: PSD 37%, PNL 23%, AUR 11%, USR 9%, UDMR 5%, PMP 4%, PPU 3%, APP 2%, FD 2%, PRO România 1% and REPER 1%. If an election were held in Romania this Sunday, PSD might gain the most in voter favorability with +8.1 growth since the last election. USR, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-6.4) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Currently governing with a Coalition of the center from PSD, PNL and UDMR. With 76.5% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Avangarde. For this purpose, 902 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 9 days (22.07.2022 - 31.07.2022).

Coalition possibilities

330
PSD
144
USR
35
PNL
90
UDMR
19
AUR
42
Majority requires 166 seats
PSD + PNL
234
PSD + USR
179
PNL + AUR + USR
167
PSD + UDMR
163

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Romania was conducted by Avangarde. The survey took place between 22.07.2022 and 31.07.2022 among 902 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PSD 37%, PNL 23%, AUR 11%, USR 9%, UDMR 5%, PMP 4%, PPU 3%, APP 2%, FD 2%, PRO România 1% and REPER 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.