Romania: Poll by Avangarde from 31.07.2022

Polling data

PSD
37.0
+2.0
PNL
23.0
+3.0
AUR
11.0
-1.0
USR
9.0
±0.0
UDMR
5.0
±0.0
PMP
4.0
-1.0
PPU
3.0
-1.0
APP
2.0
±0.0
FD
2.0
±0.0
PRO
1.0
-1.0
REPER
1.0
-1.0
Others
2.0
±0.0
Avangarde – 902 respondents – 22.07.2022-31.07.2022
Institute often rates AUR higher
In 42% of election polls, Avangarde rates AUR higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PNL lower
In 65% of election polls Avangarde rates PNL lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PSD higher
In 53% of election polls, Avangarde rates PSD higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates USR lower
In 31% of election polls Avangarde rates USR lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Next election: 2024
The next parliamentary election in Romania is expected to take place in 2024.

Coalition possibilities

PSD + PNL
70.6
PSD + USR
54.1
PSD + UDMR
49.4


Government could stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties achieve 76.5% of the votes.

Frequently asked questions about election polls

election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Romania was conducted by Avangarde. The survey took place between 22.07.2022 and 31.07.2022 among 902 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PSD 37%, PNL 23%, AUR 11%, USR 9%, UDMR 5%, PMP 4%, PPU 3%, APP 2%, FD 2%, PRO România 1% and REPER 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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