Romania
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Romania: Poll by INSCOP from 02.11.2023

Polling data

PSD
29.5
+0.4
AUR
20.2
-2.2
PNL
18.4
-0.6
USR
14.1
+2.5
SOS
4.3
+1.2
UDMR
3.8
-0.3
PRO
2.6
+0.4
PMP
1.7
-0.8
FD
1.0
±0.0
REPER
0.5
±0.0
Sonst.
1.3
-0.6
Development since the last election on 06.12.2020
PSD
+0.6
AUR
+11.1
PNL
-6.8
USR
-1.3
SOS
New
UDMR
-1.9
PRO
-1.5
PMP
-3.1
FD
New
REPER
New
INSCOP – 1100 respondents – 23.10.2023-02.11.2023

Next election: 01.12.2024

The next general election in Romania will be held in 47.

Institute often rates AUR higher

In 69% of election polls, INSCOP rates AUR higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates PNL higher

In 36% of election polls, INSCOP rates PNL higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Romania - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Romania from INSCOP shows the following results: PSD 29.5%, AUR 20.2%, PNL 18.4%, USR 14.1%, S.O.S. 4.3%, UDMR 3.8%, PRO România 2.6%, PMP 1.7%, FD 1% and REPER 0.5%. If an election were held in Romania this Sunday, AUR might gain the most in voter favorability with +11.1 growth since the last election. PNL, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-6.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Currently governing with a Coalition of the center from PSD, PNL and UDMR. With 56.5% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by INSCOP. For this purpose, 1100 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 10 days (23.10.2023 - 02.11.2023).

Coalition possibilities

330
PSD
119
USR
56
PNL
74
AUR
81
Majority requires 166 seats
AUR + PNL + USR
211
PSD + PNL
193
PSD + USR
175

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Romania was conducted by INSCOP. The survey took place between 23.10.2023 and 02.11.2023 among 1100 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PSD 29.5%, AUR 20.2%, PNL 18.4%, USR 14.1%, S.O.S. 4.3%, UDMR 3.8%, PRO România 2.6%, PMP 1.7%, FD 1% and REPER 0.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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