Romania
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Romania: Poll by Avangarde from 22.01.2024

Polling data

PSD
31.0
±0.0
PNL
21.0
±0.0
AUR
19.0
±0.0
USR
14.0
±0.0
SOS
8.0
±0.0
UDMR
5.0
±0.0
REPER
1.0
±0.0
Sonst.
1.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 06.12.2020
PSD
+2.1
PNL
-4.2
AUR
+9.9
USR
-1.4
SOS
New
UDMR
-0.7
REPER
New
Avangarde – 1150 respondents – 08.01.2024-22.01.2024

Next election: 01.12.2024

The next general election in Romania will be held in 80.

Institute often rates PNL lower

In 35% of election polls Avangarde rates PNL lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates PSD higher

In 35% of election polls, Avangarde rates PSD higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Romania - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Romania from Avangarde shows the following results: PSD 31%, PNL 21%, AUR 19%, USR 14%, S.O.S. 8%, UDMR 5% and REPER 1%. If an election were held in Romania this Sunday, AUR might gain the most in voter favorability with +9.9 growth since the last election. PNL, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-4.2) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Currently governing with a Coalition of the center from PSD, PNL and UDMR. With 57.6% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Avangarde. For this purpose, 1150 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 14 days (08.01.2024 - 22.01.2024).

Coalition possibilities

0
Majority requires 1 seats
PNL + AUR + USR
0
PNL + AUR + S.O.S. + UDMR
0
PSD + PNL
0
PSD + USR + UDMR
0

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in EU-Parliament was conducted by Avangarde. The survey took place between 08.01.2024 and 22.01.2024 among 1150 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PSD 31%, PNL 21%, AUR 19%, USR 14%, S.O.S. 8%, UDMR 5% and REPER 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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