Romania
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Romania: Poll by INSCOP from 27.06.2024

Polling data

PSD
29.4
-0.8
PNL
18.9
-1.2
AUR
14.7
-4.8
USR
12.2
+0.3
SOS
6.1
+0.9
UDMR
4.6
-0.3
REPER
3.6
+3.3
PER
2.2
+2.2
PUSL
1.5
+0.8
PRO
1.1
-0.9
Sonst.
5.7
+0.5
Development since the last election on 06.12.2020
PSD
+0.5
PNL
-6.3
AUR
+5.6
USR
-3.2
SOS
New
UDMR
-1.1
REPER
New
PER
+1.1
PUSL
New
PRO
-3.0
INSCOP – 1100 respondents – 19.06.2024-27.06.2024

Next election: 01.12.2024

The next general election in Romania will be held in 54.

Institute often rates AUR higher

In 75% of election polls, INSCOP rates AUR higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates PNL higher

In 38% of election polls, INSCOP rates PNL higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates PRO România higher

In 30% of election polls, INSCOP rates PRO România higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates PSD lower

In 31% of election polls INSCOP rates PSD lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates USR lower

In 31% of election polls INSCOP rates USR lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Romania - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Romania from INSCOP shows the following results: PSD 29.4%, PNL 18.9%, AUR 14.7%, USR 12.2%, S.O.S. 6.1%, UDMR 4.6%, REPER 3.6%, PER 2.2%, PUSL 1.5% and PRO România 1.1%. If an election were held in Romania this Sunday, AUR might gain the most in voter favorability with +5.6 growth since the last election. PNL, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-6.3) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Currently governing with a Coalition of the center from PSD, PNL and UDMR. With 59.4% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by INSCOP. For this purpose, 1100 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 8 days (19.06.2024 - 27.06.2024).

Coalition possibilities

330
PSD
120
USR
49
PNL
77
AUR
60
SOS
24
Majority requires 166 seats
PSD + PNL
197
PNL + AUR + USR
186
PSD + USR
169

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Romania was conducted by INSCOP. The survey took place between 19.06.2024 and 27.06.2024 among 1100 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PSD 29.4%, PNL 18.9%, AUR 14.7%, USR 12.2%, S.O.S. 6.1%, UDMR 4.6%, REPER 3.6%, PER 2.2%, PUSL 1.5% and PRO România 1.1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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