Romania: Poll by INSCOP from 19.09.2024

Romania: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
PSD
30.1
+0.7
USR
17.1
+4.9
AUR
14.7
±0.0
PNL
14.3
-4.6
SOS
8.9
+2.8
UDMR
5.0
+0.4
REPER
1.9
-1.7
PRO
1.4
+0.3
FD
0.9
+0.9
PMP
0.8
+0.8
PER
0.7
-1.5
PUSL
0.3
-1.2
Others
3.9
-1.8
Development since the last election on 01.12.2024
PSD
+8.0
USR
+4.8
AUR
-3.2
PNL
+1.0
SOS
+1.6
UDMR
-1.4
REPER
New
PRO
New
FD
-1.2
PMP
New
PER
New
PUSL
New
INSCOP – 1002 respondents – 11.09.2024-19.09.2024

Next election: 2028

The next parliamentary election in Romania is expected to take place in 2028.

Institute often rates AUR higher

In 73% of election polls, INSCOP rates AUR higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates PMP lower

In 50% of election polls INSCOP rates PMP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates PNL higher

In 31% of election polls, INSCOP rates PNL higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates REPER lower

In 33% of election polls INSCOP rates REPER lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates USR lower

In 38% of election polls INSCOP rates USR lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Romania - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Romania from INSCOP shows the following results: PSD 30.1%, USR 17.1%, AUR 14.7%, PNL 14.3%, S.O.S. 8.9%, UDMR 5%, REPER 1.9%, PRO România 1.4%, FD 0.9%, PMP 0.8%, PER 0.7% and PUSL 0.3%. If an election were held in Romania this Sunday, PSD might gain the most in voter favorability with +8.0 growth since the last election. AUR, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-3.2) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Currently governing with a Coalition of the center from PSD, PNL and UDMR. With 54.9% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by INSCOP. For this purpose, 1002 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 8 days (11.09.2024 - 19.09.2024).

Coalition possibilities

330
Majority requires 166 seats
PSD
111
33.6%
USR
63
19.1%
UDMR
18
5.5%
PNL
52
15.8%
AUR
54
16.4%
SOS
32
9.7%
PSD + PNL + UDMR
54.8%
PSD + USR
52.7%
USR + AUR + PNL
51.2%
USR + AUR + S.O.S. + UDMR
50.6%
USR + PNL + S.O.S. + UDMR
50.0%
PSD + PNL
49.4%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Romania was conducted by INSCOP. The survey took place between 11.09.2024 and 19.09.2024 among 1002 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PSD 30.1%, USR 17.1%, AUR 14.7%, PNL 14.3%, S.O.S. 8.9%, UDMR 5%, REPER 1.9%, PRO România 1.4%, FD 0.9%, PMP 0.8%, PER 0.7% and PUSL 0.3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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