Polling data
PSD
31.0
-2.0
PNL
20.0
-3.0
AUR
18.0
+4.0
USR
15.0
+4.0
SOS
7.0
+2.0
PMP
3.0
-1.0
UDMR
3.0
-2.0
Others
3.0
-2.0
Development since the last election on 06.12.2020
CURS – 1006 respondents – 11.10.2024-16.10.2024
Next election: 01.12.2024
The next general election in Romania will be held in 20.
Institute often rates AUR lower
In 54% of election polls CURS rates AUR lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PNL lower
In 30% of election polls CURS rates PNL lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PSD higher
In 51% of election polls, CURS rates PSD higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates USR lower
In 41% of election polls CURS rates USR lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Election poll results
Romania - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Romania from CURS shows the following results: PSD 31%, PNL 20%, AUR 18%, USR 15%, S.O.S. 7%, PMP 3% and UDMR 3%. If an election were held in Romania this Sunday, AUR might gain the most in voter favorability with +8.9 growth since the last election. PNL, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-5.2) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.
Currently governing with a Coalition of the center from PSD, PNL and UDMR. With 56.1% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.
The election survey was collected by CURS. For this purpose, 1006 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 5 days (11.10.2024 - 16.10.2024).
Coalition possibilities
330
PSD
113
USR
54
PNL
73
AUR
65
SOS
25
Majority requires 166 seats
PNL + AUR + USR
PSD + PNL
PSD + USR
PNL + AUR + S.O.S.
Frequently asked questions about election polls
Election poll results
This election poll on the parliamentary election in Romania was conducted by CURS. The survey took place between 11.10.2024 and 16.10.2024 among 1006 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PSD 31%, PNL 20%, AUR 18%, USR 15%, S.O.S. 7%, PMP 3% and UDMR 3%.
How reliable are election polls?
Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.
What should you look out for in election polls?
Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.