Romania: Poll by INSCOP from 12.11.2024

Polling data

PSD
31.1
+0.9
AUR
20.7
-0.7
PNL
16.2
+3.0
USR
12.7
±0.0
SOS
5.9
-2.2
UDMR
4.5
+0.8
REPER
2.6
+0.1
DREPT
1.2
+1.2
PER
1.2
-0.9
FD
1.1
+0.4
SENS
1.0
+1.0
Others
1.8
-3.6
Development since the last election on 01.12.2024
PSD
+9.0
AUR
+2.8
PNL
+2.9
USR
+0.4
SOS
-1.4
UDMR
-1.9
REPER
New
DREPT
New
PER
New
FD
-1.0
SENS
-2.0
INSCOP – 1100 respondents – 07.11.2024-12.11.2024

Next election: 2028

The next parliamentary election in Romania is expected to take place in 2028.

Institute often rates AUR higher

In 73% of election polls, INSCOP rates AUR higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates PNL higher

In 31% of election polls, INSCOP rates PNL higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates USR lower

In 38% of election polls INSCOP rates USR lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Romania - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Romania from INSCOP shows the following results: PSD 31.1%, AUR 20.7%, PNL 16.2%, USR 12.7%, S.O.S. 5.9%, UDMR 4.5%, REPER 2.6%, DREPT 1.2%, PER 1.2%, FD 1.1% and SENS 1%. If an election were held in Romania this Sunday, PSD might gain the most in voter favorability with +9.0 growth since the last election. SENS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.0) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Currently governing with a Coalition of the center from PSD, PNL and UDMR. With 54.9% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by INSCOP. For this purpose, 1100 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 5 days (07.11.2024 - 12.11.2024).

Coalition possibilities

330
Majority requires 166 seats
PSD
119
36.1%
USR
48
14.5%
PNL
62
18.8%
AUR
79
23.9%
SOS
22
6.7%
AUR + PNL + USR
57.3%
PSD + PNL
54.8%
PSD + USR
50.6%
AUR + PNL + S.O.S.
49.4%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Romania was conducted by INSCOP. The survey took place between 07.11.2024 and 12.11.2024 among 1100 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PSD 31.1%, AUR 20.7%, PNL 16.2%, USR 12.7%, S.O.S. 5.9%, UDMR 4.5%, REPER 2.6%, DREPT 1.2%, PER 1.2%, FD 1.1% and SENS 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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