Romania: Poll by Argument from 22.11.2024

Polling data

PSD
37.5
±0.0
AUR
20.1
±0.0
PNL
17.1
±0.0
USR
15.7
±0.0
SOS
5.1
±0.0
UDMR
2.4
±0.0
FD
2.1
±0.0
Development since the last election on 01.12.2024
PSD
+15.4
AUR
+2.2
PNL
+3.8
USR
+3.4
SOS
-2.2
UDMR
-4.0
FD
±0.0
Argument – 1100 respondents – 01.11.2024-22.11.2024

Next election: 2028

The next parliamentary election in Romania is expected to take place in 2028.

Election poll results

Romania - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Romania from Argument shows the following results: PSD 37.5%, AUR 20.1%, PNL 17.1%, USR 15.7%, S.O.S. 5.1%, UDMR 2.4% and FD 2.1%. If an election were held in Romania this Sunday, PSD might gain the most in voter favorability with +15.4 growth since the last election. UDMR, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-4.0) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Currently governing with a Coalition of the center from PSD, PNL and UDMR. With 57.6% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Argument. For this purpose, 1100 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 21 days (01.11.2024 - 22.11.2024).

Coalition possibilities

330
Majority requires 166 seats
PSD
131
39.7%
USR
54
16.4%
PNL
59
17.9%
AUR
69
20.9%
SOS
17
5.2%
PSD + PNL
57.6%
PSD + USR
56.1%
AUR + PNL + USR
55.2%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Romania was conducted by Argument. The survey took place between 01.11.2024 and 22.11.2024 among 1100 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PSD 37.5%, AUR 20.1%, PNL 17.1%, USR 15.7%, S.O.S. 5.1%, UDMR 2.4% and FD 2.1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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