Romania: Poll by FlashData from 16.02.2025

Romania: Polling data

AUR
27.9
±0.0
PSD
21.2
±0.0
USR
19.0
±0.0
PNL
12.3
±0.0
POT
6.7
±0.0
SOS
5.6
±0.0
UDMR
3.4
±0.0
PMP
1.1
±0.0
REPER
1.1
±0.0
FD
0.6
±0.0
Others
1.1
±0.0
Development since the last election on 01.12.2024
AUR
+10.0
PSD
-0.9
USR
+6.7
PNL
-1.0
POT
+0.3
SOS
-1.7
UDMR
-3.0
PMP
+1.1
REPER
+1.1
FD
-1.5
FlashData – 7500 respondents – 14.02.2025-16.02.2025

Next election: 2028

The next parliamentary election in Romania is expected to take place in 2028.

Election poll results

Romania - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Romania from FlashData shows the following results: AUR 27.9%, PSD 21.2%, USR 19%, PNL 12.3%, POT 6.7%, S.O.S. 5.6%, UDMR 3.4%, PMP 1.1%, REPER 1.1% and FD 0.6%. If an election were held in Romania this Sunday, AUR might gain the most in voter favorability with +10.0 growth since the last election. UDMR, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-3.0) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Currently governing with a Coalition of the center from PSD, PNL and UDMR. With 36.3% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by FlashData. For this purpose, 7500 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (14.02.2025 - 16.02.2025).

Coalition possibilities

330
Majority requires 166 seats
PSD
76
23%
USR
68
20.6%
PNL
44
13.3%
AUR
100
30.3%
POT
23
7%
SOS
19
5.8%
PSD + USR + PNL
57.0%
AUR + USR
50.9%
AUR + PNL + S.O.S.
49.4%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Romania was conducted by FlashData. The survey took place between 14.02.2025 and 16.02.2025 among 7500 eligible voters. After this election poll would get AUR 27.9%, PSD 21.2%, USR 19%, PNL 12.3%, POT 6.7%, S.O.S. 5.6%, UDMR 3.4%, PMP 1.1%, REPER 1.1% and FD 0.6%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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