Romania: Poll by Sociopol from 31.08.2019

Romania: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
PNL
35.0
+15.0
PSD
20.0
-13.0
A2020
16.0
±0.0
PRO
11.0
+3.0
ALDE
5.0
-6.0
PMP
5.0
+3.0
UDMR
3.0
-1.0
Others
5.0
-1.0
Development since the last election on 01.12.2024
PNL
+21.7
PSD
-2.1
A2020
New
PRO
New
ALDE
New
PMP
New
UDMR
-3.4
Sociopol – 1001 respondents – 19.08.2019-31.08.2019

Next election: 2028

The next parliamentary election in Romania is expected to take place in 2028.

Institute often rates PNL lower

In 47% of election polls Sociopol rates PNL lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates PSD higher

In 32% of election polls, Sociopol rates PSD higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Romania - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Romania from Sociopol shows the following results: PNL 35%, PSD 20%, Alianța 2020 16%, PRO România 11%, ALDE 5%, PMP 5% and UDMR 3%. If an election were held in Romania this Sunday, PNL might gain the most in voter favorability with +21.7 growth since the last election. UDMR, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-3.4) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Ilie Bolojan is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from PSD, USR, PNL and UDMR. With 60.0% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Sociopol. For this purpose, 1001 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 12 days (19.08.2019 - 31.08.2019).

Coalition possibilities

330
Majority requires 166 seats
PSD
72
21.8%
PRO
39
11.8%
PNL
126
38.2%
A2020
57
17.3%
ALDE
18
5.5%
PMP
18
5.5%
PNL + PSD
60.0%
PNL + PRO România + PMP
55.5%
PNL + PRO România + ALDE
55.5%
PNL + PRO România
50.0%
PNL + ALDE + PMP
49.1%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Romania was conducted by Sociopol. The survey took place between 19.08.2019 and 31.08.2019 among 1001 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PNL 35%, PSD 20%, Alianța 2020 16%, PRO România 11%, ALDE 5%, PMP 5% and UDMR 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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