Prefer an ad-free experience? Get PolitPro+ now.

Latest Opinion Poll for the Russia Election (FOM, June 7, 2026)

June 5, 2026 - June 7, 2026

1500 respondents

Next Russia's General Election: 2026

The next Russia's General Election is expected in 2026.

Russia's Governing Coalition Retains Stable Majority

Based on the FOM projection, the incumbent governing parties would currently secure 77.6% of the parliamentary seats.

Who is leading in the latest poll from FOM?

According to the latest national poll in Russia by FOM, YeR leads with 50%. They are followed by LDPR: 16.7%, KPRF: 11.1%, NL: 8.3%, SRPZP: 4.2%, Zelyonyye: 2.8%, Partiya pensionerov: 1.4% and Yabloko: 1.4%. Other parties secure 3% of the votes.

Current Election Trend: Russia
Poll results, coalitions, and election data
All Election Polls
Latest surveys from all institutes and historical data
What do the parties stand for?
Information, comparisons, and data on parties in Russia
Prefer an ad-free experience? Get PolitPro+ now.

Quality Check: How Reliable is the FOM Projection?

55

PolitPro Score

FOM achieved a PolitPro Score of 55 out of 100.

?

Election Accuracy

On average, FOM's figures deviate by percentage points between their final pre-election polls and actual election results.

FOM at a Glance
Polling data, historical accuracy, and party bias
Which institutes are the most reliable?
Election accuracy and methodological reliability

Potential Majorities and Coalition Scenarios

Electoral Threshold

The electoral threshold for the election in Russia is 5%.

PolitPro Analysis
Likelihood of an Absolute Majority
  • YeR
    ??%
  • LDPR
    ??%
  • KPRF
    ??%
Likelihood of Winning the Election
  • YeR
    ??%
  • LDPR
    ??%
  • KPRF
    ??%
Likelihood of Crossing the Electoral Threshold
  • SRPZP
    ??%
  • Zely.
    ??%
  • RPPSS
    ??%
  • Yabloko
    ??%

How Does the PolitPro Analysis Work?

Election polls are not predictions; they are snapshots subject to statistical fluctuations. To provide a realistic picture, we daily simulate 100,000 election outcomes based on the PolitPro Election Trend using the 'Monte Carlo method'. In doing so, we factor in typical voter migration patterns and political trends. Our algorithm tests various scenarios – from minor shifts within political camps to unexpected political developments – to determine the true chances of success for parties and coalitions.

Unlock Analysis
YeR + LDPR
Unknown
77.6%
YeR
Unknown
58.2%

Projected Parliamentary Composition (Source: FOM)

According to FOM data, 4 parties are projected to surpass the electoral threshold and enter Russia's parliament: YeR with 262 representatives, LDPR with 87 representatives, KPRF with 58 representatives and NL with 43 representatives.

Coalition Calculator
Which parties could form a stable majority?

Data Sources and Methodology

PolitPro

PolitPro bridges the gap between scientific research and current polling. We supplement leading datasets with our own proprietary research and algorithms to make complex political contexts tangible and accessible. Powered by AI.

Help Us Stay Independent

Your support helps shield PolitPro from the influence of lobbyists and political parties.

Give Feedback

Tell us how we can make PolitPro even better for you!

Found a Mistake?

Political data is constantly evolving. If you spot an error, please let us know. A brief reference to your source will help us verify and update the information.