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Latest Opinion Poll for the Russia Election (Levada Center, May 28, 2026)

May 20, 2026 - May 28, 2026

1607 respondents

Next Russia's General Election: 2026

The next Russia's General Election is expected in 2026.

Russia's Governing Coalition Retains Stable Majority

Based on the Levada Center projection, the incumbent governing parties would currently secure 69.6% of the parliamentary seats.

Who is leading in the latest poll from Levada Center?

According to the latest national poll in Russia by Levada Center, YeR leads with 47%. They are followed by LDPR: 16%, KPRF: 15%, NL: 7% and SRPZP: 6%. Other parties secure 9% of the votes.

Current Election Trend: Russia
Poll results, coalitions, and election data
All Election Polls
Latest surveys from all institutes and historical data
What do the parties stand for?
Information, comparisons, and data on parties in Russia
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Quality Check: How Reliable is the Levada Center Projection?

41

PolitPro Score

Levada Center achieved a PolitPro Score of 41 out of 100.

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Election Accuracy

On average, Levada Center's figures deviate by percentage points between their final pre-election polls and actual election results.

Levada Center at a Glance
Polling data, historical accuracy, and party bias
Which institutes are the most reliable?
Election accuracy and methodological reliability

Potential Majorities and Coalition Scenarios

Electoral Threshold

The electoral threshold for the election in Russia is 5%.

PolitPro Analysis
Likelihood of an Absolute Majority
  • YeR
    ??%
  • LDPR
    ??%
  • KPRF
    ??%
Likelihood of Winning the Election
  • YeR
    ??%
  • LDPR
    ??%
  • KPRF
    ??%
Likelihood of Crossing the Electoral Threshold
  • SRPZP
    ??%

How Does the PolitPro Analysis Work?

Election polls are not predictions; they are snapshots subject to statistical fluctuations. To provide a realistic picture, we daily simulate 100,000 election outcomes based on the PolitPro Election Trend using the 'Monte Carlo method'. In doing so, we factor in typical voter migration patterns and political trends. Our algorithm tests various scenarios – from minor shifts within political camps to unexpected political developments – to determine the true chances of success for parties and coalitions.

Unlock Analysis
YeR + LDPR
Unknown
69.6%
YeR
Unknown
51.8%

Projected Parliamentary Composition (Source: Levada Center)

According to Levada Center data, 5 parties are projected to surpass the electoral threshold and enter Russia's parliament: YeR with 233 representatives, LDPR with 80 representatives, KPRF with 74 representatives, NL with 34 representatives and SRPZP with 29 representatives.

Coalition Calculator
Which parties could form a stable majority?

Data Sources and Methodology

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